Daily inspiration: "10 Great Words for 2023
Reinforce, Believe, Persist, Defy, Create, Immerse, Focus, Challenge, Act, Inspire!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Happy New Year!
Keeping up with a tradition that began back in 2006 - starting each year with '10 Great Words' - here's what I'm thinking for 2023!
Read the full post at:
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-10-great-words-for-2023-reinforce-believe-persist-defy-create-immerse-focus-challenge-act-inspire/
All is quiet on New Year's Day!"
7 AM. Very dark and very quiet out here. Where is everybody. It's the start of a new day!
Our Christmas tree is blooming. And it's time to take it down!
We were thinking that, but it has no roots, and it's about to be winter outside again so any water would freeze. It's definitely happy in here!
Tomorrow's Daily inspiration. It has to do with this trend. Stay tuned!
Daily Inspiration: "Your next success will come when you are ready to challenge your most successful assumptions!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Globalization as we know it is over -and with that, one of the most basic assumptions which drove the post-World War 2 economy has come to an end. That's why trend #16 of my "23 Trends for 2023" is The Great Decoupling. Success comes from challenging assumptions.
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-your-next-success-will-come-when-you-are-ready-to-challenge-your-most-successful-assumptions/
Did you vote? 3 days left.
Great thread!
Some stuff about the 4 hour workday here from prior publications:
Just put out #16
"23 Trends for 2023: #16 - The Great Decoupling"
Globalization as we know it is over -and with that, one of the most basic assumptions which have driven the post-World War 2 economy has come to an end.
That's why trend #16 of my "23 Trends for 2023" is The Great Decoupling - what happens as the assumptions behind the success of globalization are challenged, and a reorganization of the global economy occurs, aka "place-based economics."
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/23-trends-for-2023-16-the-great-decoupling/
We are pretty much at the point where #wx forecasters in eastern North America no longer have a clue what is going.
Where I am - Southern On - tmrw's temp prediction have been +5, then +15, now +3. Thur night was -17, then -7, then +1, now -4
The models can't cope with the new volatility
Oh, and winter is over. Happy spring.
Well, I have my image, and now need to write my story around it for my Daily Inspiration around 5am tomorrow morning!
Thanks for that! Can I use this in my post tomorrow?
Can I ask a serious question?
How, in your profession do you keep your optimism intact? How do you battle constant cynicism, dishonesty and political agenda of those who tell the lie that climate change is all a hoax? How do you do your research, knowing that there are those who are just opposed to whatever science you provide, simply because they oppose science?
Genuinely curious. Saw your intro and thought I'd ask
The answer is helpful. Might relate to a thing I'm doing
Daily Inspiration: "The trend that actually happens is the one that isn't hyped!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Part of the art of figuring out the future is knowing this - you'll often find the real trend by looking beyond the hype to what's actually happening! The hype? Virtual headset virtual reality,. The reality? The return of Google Glass ideas with smart heads-up displays.
That's the focus of trend #17 of my 23 Trends for 2023 - Non-Immeservice VR / AR.
Smart contacts. It's a thing.
At least it has an SSL cert.
#17 drops later today.
#18 tomorrow - its going to be a fun one to write!
And the list so far: https://2023.jimcarroll.com
1 of 2 / Just dropped: "23 Trends for 2023 : #17 Non-immersive VR and AR
Part of the art of figuring out the future is knowing this - you'll often find the real trend by looking beyond the hype to what's actually happening! The hype? Virtual headset virtual reality, best epitomized by the bold but somewhat doomed bet by Mark Zuckerberg with his Meta initiative.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/23-trends-for-2023-17-non-immersive-vr-and-ar/
2 of 2/ Just dropped: "23 Trends for 2023 : #17 Non-immersive VR and AR
The reality? The return of Google Glass ideas with smart heads-up display based on accelerated augmented reality technology and concepts.
What you see with today's HUD display in the Airbus A220 will mainstream to many other industries as digital twin, AR and smart glasses merge together.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/23-trends-for-2023-17-non-immersive-vr-and-ar/
Yup on that!
Well, I've got my image for my early morning Daily Inspiration post tomorrow.
Not sure how inspirational it is, but there's a point to it.
Also, my wife did not like it just now. So it had the desired impact.
Stay tuned!
Think of it like email. When you do a post, people who follow you get a connection from whatever server you are on, and sends it to it.
So your post caused your system to connect to my little single user instance, sending me the toot, where it is displayed on my timeline.
Now, as I respond, my little server will connect to yours and send it. It will also connect to the servers of those who follow me.
All in the background.
VisiCalc!
I ran sheets for a takeover of a global seafood company of another company in 1982. I was a 22 year old accountant in a room full of seasoned investment buyout wizards and suddenly I was the smartest guy in the room!
Nice to meet you!
And I saw your toot because someone I followed boosted it!
Daily Inspiration: "You can't deny denialism!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
There's an economic cost, not to mention big societal implications and business challenges, from collective lunacy.
That's why trend #18 of my 23 Trends for 2023 is "The Battle For Reality."
Whether they like it or not, leadership teams & organizations are going to have to deal with collective insanity going forward.
, lunacy bears a price, and there's a lot more of it about.
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-you-cant-deny-denialism/
23 Trends for 2023: #17 The Battle For Reality
Whether they like it or not, leadership teams and organizations are going to have to deal with collective insanity.
They are finding it embedded in their workforce; are challenged by customers who disbelieve reality and have to regularly reconsider their advertising and public relations strategies in light of it.
Most have tried to ignore it – but the acceleration of the trend makes it increasingly difficult to do so
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/23-trends-for-2023-18-the-battle-for-reality/
They aren't going to 'legislate' anything.
They are going to do whack-a-doodle things like investigate laptops and other headline grabbing things that are essentially meaningless and will accomplish nothing.
So maybe they can stay deadlocked for a long time and spare us the idiocy.
And the actual article referenced in the cover is here!
https://archive.macleans.ca/article/1996/1/29/plugging-into-the-future
Welcome!
I've had my own server for 2 months and a bit. I tell the story here.
I'd be interested in where you had the stats/details on instances connecting to you. Is that a specific Misskey platform thing?
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
ICYMI
Last month, I wrote the story of how I setup my own Mastodon instance with my own 'vanity plate' domain name on a Vultr Ubuntu server, for about $14 a month.
If you are thinking of going down this path, its not that hard!
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
I started out by randomly following 100 random people which fed my feed.
Then Ii started following more people because I saw so many other interesting people in that feed!
Then I wrote a post about why I found that fact so wonderful and that post got boosted and shared ... and I got a ton of new follows, so I followed many more ..
And so I now have a VERY busy feed.
And so yes, I think this is how it works.
But I do need to find out how to find such a list.
How can I see a list of all the
instances I am federated with?
(I #selfhost and have a VERY busy feed)
My primary driver was severalfold:
- long term commitment to the fediverse and hence, owning my future
- doing so within my brand (futurist.info)
- being able to better understand how the whole thing works by learning what's under the hood (started on FreeBSD in 1997, longtime Linux since, still learning)
Thanks for that. I'll explore the API later, but a simple peek shows that there are a gazillion instances that mine seems to know about. This is page 1 of 6!
So to answer @Jdreben .. it seems to populate out.
WHOAH!
Did not know of that. I'm regularly firing up little Ubuntu servers here and there as I explore things so this looks wonderful!
See my bio. I've been online for 40 years so always exploring.... learning ... the online world never ceases to amaze, and the Fediverse takes me back to Usenet days.
Running it now. This will be fun!
Somewhere in my feed there is a bot that reports on the number of instances; I think it is up to about 8,000. I'd have to parse my list and compare.
So much to do, so little time. And someone has probably written a PHP that does this...
I love the fact that I asked a simple question and am now flooded with new tools, insight, things to learn, ideas to explore and I've just lost 23 minutes in the most wonderful way....
...and the important stuff I'm supposed to be doing just got put on the backburner...
VirtualBox for sure; any time I need to use a Windows tool I fire it up and go in and hold myself to stay calm because... Windows....
My list
I set up with one relay, newsie.social. I watched my traffic after doing so and didn't notice any degradation (which was my main objective)
I think I'll fill out my list later today and watch what happens.
Johnny Mastodon for Speaker of the House!!!!!!!
Kevin McCarthy is becoming to the Speaker of the House what the Toronto Maple Leafs are to hockey.
(Canadian humor)
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow.
30 years of watching leading innovators has identified a key thing.
Daily Inspiration: "You'll never know what awaits you at the leading edge if you never try to actually go there!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
30 years of studying global innovation leaders - and those who have failed - teaches me the key lesson of transformative innovation: those who succeed are not afraid to step up and look out over the leading edge.
That's a key message, and you'd do well to obsess over it - and get yourself to the edge!
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-you-cant-deny-denialism/
It's pretty amazing what happens to the Federated Timeline when you add a few relays to it.
Now I'm NEVER going to get any work done
Question - there are a few 'awaiting approval'. Is there a standard protocol / method to do this, or is this just sitting in someone's inbox somewhere?
23 Trends for 2023: #19 Leading at the Leading Edge
Pretty much what I had in the Daily Inspiration earlier today.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/23-trends-for-2023-19-leading-at-the-leading-edge/
Tomorrow.
@jan @notroot@notroot.social
I used that, and some show as 'waiting'
@jan @notroot@notroot.social
That worked.
I've been watching these as they go in to see the impact on my little Vultr based instance.
Thanks for the help!
@Lkngrrr@mastodon.lol
That's funny, because I just put a screen shot of Proteus into my draft post.
After adding a new relay, there's always a spike on my server, I suppose as it getting things set up. Then, things pretty much calm down.
@notroot@notroot.social @jan
I think so too. I'm trying to get some real work done but this is too much fun.
Also, I need to compile a list of #selfhosting #selfhost people.
I'll start a tread in a bit.
Meme in progress.
@notroot@notroot.social
I'm using 'glances'. It's the default install. I haven't read the docs yet.
@notroot@notroot.social
Somewhat better. Can't find a black option.
@notroot@notroot.social
It's called 'glances'
https://buildmedia.readthedocs.org/media/pdf/glances/latest/glances.pdf
I was long skeptical of the expansion of domain names to all kinds of TLD's, but seeing things like .social and .community and others on Mastodon makes it all makes sense.
@notroot@notroot.social
To think I've spent all these years in Terminal and never swapped out the color.
My sons (now 27 and 29) used to see me go into shell or MSDOS from Windows (olden days, say 96) and wondered what the game was about . They couldn't figure it out; they thought it was a pretty dumb game.
So in my timeline just now, I've got @notroot and @null (I am root) posting to me.
Just waiting for @daemon and others to show up.
I've got my image for tomorrow mornings post.
It's related to trend #21 - The Rise of the Robots.
The text might change!
@andrew@trivial.business
It's called Glances.
@notroot@notroot.social
I'm on OSX in Terminal looking into my Vultr server
LOL.
@RoboPack@mastodon.social
Good point!
Final results.
Really good read of Mastodon/Fediverse by @arstechnica
@pkedrosky@sportsmedtwtr.net
That last line could be the title of a book.
Daily Inspiration: "Beyond the scary headlines, you'll often find remarkable realities!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
They're everywhere! Little robots scurrying about, doing the jobs that humans don't want to do!
Despite widespread techno-skepticism which I identified in Trend #1 - Technoskpeticism,, it's pretty clear that many technologies are having their moment. Robotic is clearly one of the most relevant, which is why it's trend #20 of my '23 Trends for 2023' series
Vultr is joining the hosting gamem setting up a 1-click Pleroma (Mastodon alternative to get to the Fediverse...)
https://www.vultr.com/docs/install-pleroma-on-ubuntu-22-04-lts/
@Lkngrrr@mastodon.lol
Your enthusiasm is wild!
We've all suffered from loss.
I had a very good friend; highly intelligent, aware, sensitive, compassionate. He now regularly spouts nonsense about Covid, vaccines, masks - all the usual stuff. I think he has developed an addiction to anger. There's antoher guy - well respected long range weather guy. Now gone over the deep end as well
I think it is a new form of colledctive madness and in years to come, will be an identified mental illness, described here:
This is a siutation where domain-related #singleuser instances make sense.
The verification process is much more straightforward if you set up something like
official@haveibeenpwned.com
with the verification link back to the site
That way, we'd have a quick look at the profile, see the link back to the site and go, oh, ok, its' good.
I think we will get there with a lot of brands/initiatives/software/platforms
Thank you sir!
This was my cat 40 years ago. Only pet I ever had. Its name was 'parityerror' aka 'parity'
Oldsters get it.
I set up 3 relays to expand my reach into the Fediverse. An initial noticeable spike that then tends to flatten out. I'll keep watching but my little 2GB Vultr Mastodon instance seems to be doing ok.
What's the size of your VM? I haven't had any crashes andy everything seems fine, just some minor refresh slowness now and then.
@paul@dasmirnov.net
Nothing like that. But my relay list is somewhat limited ... but the Federated timeline is updating second by second
Not only that, but we had a secret door into the house where said bottles were deposited.
And eggs too. Sometimes eggs.
I would have thought that the NYTimes
@CKsTechNews@cktn.todon.de
Oh look! A 2009 Mac Pro!
I've got my image for my early morning Daily Inspiration tomorrow.
Now I just need to write it!
Daily Inspiration: "Change resistance is now retiring. Generational acceleration is quickly disrupting. Older concepts are dying & new realities are quickly arriving. What’s your plan?”
The youngest generation now entering the full-time workforce was born right after 9/11.
They were six or seven years old during the global financial meltdown and recession of 2007-08. They've now lived through the global pandemic. And they've had a cellphone - most likely an iPhone - since they were ten years old, with social media and fast. messaging simply being a part of who they are. This generation, more than any other, is connected, wired, and thinks differently than any other generation before them.
That's why trend #21 of my '23 Trends for 2023' that leadership teams really need to be thinking about is the impact of 'Accelerating Generational Disruption.'
Trends...
I don't know. The graphic seems to refer to hits on joinmastodon.org, so I don't know if that includes your instance and my instance and others.
An error on a link:
No worries, I thought you should know. It was a good read, even though I just run a solo instance. I don't have any bad actors, since it's just me. (-;
As the other place got worse, I found I had to do more to keep my snark to myself.
I ended up, almost a year ago, writing this into my Social Media Serenity Prayer.
“Grant me the maturity to understand the things I should not post, the insight to share the things I should, and the wisdom to quickly know the difference!”
I still remind myself of it here, even though the Fediverse results in few things that I might snark to.
Old FOMO: crypto, blockchain, meta, Web 3.0
New FOMO: generative AI, fusion
It's the tiny cron that will destroy everything too
You need to watch this video!
"Chuck E. Cheese still using floppy disks in 2023"
Mine's on an Amazon SES for SMTP... should be ok...
Working on a post for tomorrow for my 2023 series.
Out of my research, I hit this:
"In financial bubbles, the wishful thinking of a single investor multiplies. When we invest in an asset or industry with all of our friends, and we all want the same investment to succeed, wishful thinking dovetails with conformity, creating what I call “wishful groupthink”. When wishful groupthink is infused with politics and ideology, it becomes cult-like, impervious to reason and impervious to new evidence."
I love the last line. It explains the last 6 years.
There has been talk of this 'impending recession' since early 2022. It's massively psychological. But it had to happen - too many sectors were overheated.
@bleakfuture@home.social @lauren
I'd agree with that. I just found the 'find an instance thing' offputting.
I finally decided creating my own identity rather than belonging to some other domain was important - because otherwise, it seemed like getting a Hotmail or AOL email adderess that might stick wtih me for life.
So I made my own, futurist.info
When it comes to crypto, I can proudly hold my head up high for ridiculing it pretty consistently.
This clip is from 2018.
So ya, JOMOFTW!
I've got my image finalized for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
Now i just need to write it!
Start every day with a 'thing.' I've been doing this 'thing' every workday morning since August 2016. It's a thing!
With regard to this, does anyone out there remember there was a great cartoon that was about one tiny little piece of unmaintained code in Linux maintained by some long gone developer that held up the entire stack? It might have been xkcd or something similar...
Maybe this might draw a small synapse memory from someone. I'd love to find it!
Daily Inspiration: "Strategy should be long on reality. Never short on wisdom!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Looking back, one of my proudest moments from 2022 has to be when I lost out on a speaking gig because I advised the client - a major global Swiss firm - that I couldn't quite tell the storyline they wanted to hear. They were looking for a keynote that outlined the huge, future opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies - but I demurred because I didn't think their expectations were realistic. The lead organizer of the event seemed to be caught up in the crazy world of the hype of crypto; I wasn't and told him so. I suggested I could give a realistic overview of what was really going on, including the possibility of a crash and collapse.
I didn't get the gig and lost out on a substantial fee, but in retrospect, managed to keep my integrity and dignity intact!
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-strategy-should-be-long-on-reality-never-short-on-wisdom/
What the weather guy says this morning.
What will probably happen - it will rain.
I'm hosting my media over at AWS/Cloudfront, so my little 2GB #selfhosting Vultr server chugs along fine. You could at least do that. No scale issues here.
@jeffjarvis @User47@vmst.io
Fun little attack I suppose.
My clients like Disney, NASA, the World Bank, and hundreds of others pay dearly for my work, based on 30 years of solid forward oriented insight.
Not embarassed here at all. And I always wonder how folks dream up these little things.
But have your fun!
Cheers!
Twas' ever thus.
Me in 2018.
And I was having that same type of fun in the dot.com years, poking fun at the ridiculous business models. Pissed a lot of people off. But proven right.
@djwfyi@vmst.io @elk
It's really nice!
LOL.
Society is done.
""Since VALL-E could synthesize speech that maintains speaker identity, it may carry potential risks in misuse of the model, such as spoofing voice identification or impersonating a specific speaker. To mitigate such risks, it is possible to build a detection model to discriminate whether an audio clip was synthesized by VALL-E. We will also put Microsoft AI Principles into practice when further developing the models.""
("We've developed this scary thing. We're not going to release it")
(But it will get out anyways...)
I've been on @Elk -- https://elk.zone - for literally 15 minutes and it's already my new favourite thing.
I know it acts and looks just like that other site, but I was there for 14 years, and so this is like having my muscle-brain memory kick in.
3am for writers.
I don't know of the use case for it. I'm sure there's something. But just another thing to manage and worry about
Nice that @elk supports those of us who have boosted our character count.
Final trend post comes out tomorrow in my '23 Trends for 2023' series.
I've had fun writing this series, starting out with #1 - Techno-skepticism - way back on December 1 - posting one each workday, with a wee break before Christmas.
I see lots of folks always posting about struggling to commit to writing something - say, once a week or so. With this series, I've been writing complex pieces of 6,000 to 10,000 words each day, many of them starting out as my Daily Inspiration post - which I've been doing every single workday since early August 2016. (I haven't missed one day)
I find if I don't write each day early in the morning, I get in a grumpy mood! Weird!
Tomorrow's final trend is how I notice my clients are moving from the crisis management mode of the last several years back into longer term strategic thinking.
The full list is at https://2023.jimcarroll.com
Meanwhile, solar-energy generating window technology is coming at us very quickly.
So they aren't just for light and air - but will help to power our homes.
I love looking at these old predictions though.
Yup, leading the way!
Just finalized my image for my Daily Inspiration for tomorrow morning.
This one relates to Trend #23 of my '23 Trends for 2023' series, which began on December 1.
Lots of fun putting these together every day!
Ok, I'm playing with the wonderful new @elk interface, which is, as I understand it, about 12 hours old.
I'm wondering where the items in this section are coming from ... on my little #selfhost #selfhosting instance
Are they a function of sites I'm reolayed to? Related to people I'm following? How does this get populated?
@User47@vmst.io Lots of reports out that most search with that generation is happening on Tiktok; it has a huge. And AI via ChatGPT etc is going to be next for mainstream search. So Google is finally getting some challenges.
@KaiserOfNone@vmst.io @User47@vmst.io
Which is why I do most of my real research on Dow Jones Factiva, which I pay a significant fee to use.
So I do things like this:
-> get me articles where the headline contains the phrase 'search engine' and it also references either Tiktok or AI
which get me 4 precise articles on exactly what I need.
I've been using this type of tool for 40 years. It's why I can do what I do.
(Well, and think a lot, and listen a lot, and talk to a lot of people)
Also, your identity might matter.
What happens if you invest a ton of time in developing your personality around name@something.social -- and something.social goes down and disappears?
Which is why I created, manage and plan on keeping my own futurist.info instance.
If you are committing to this thing, identity for the long term matters.
(i.e. it's gonna be a drag to be that person from '00 who still has the hotmail.com email address!)
Daily Inspiration: "It's time to move from triage to tomorrow!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
Next month will mark 3 years since individuals and organizations began to go through the largest disruption they will ever know. With lockdowns, a staggering loss of human life, work-from-home, and the rapid emergence of a digital lifestyle and e-commerce infrastructure - we all had to learn to adapt quickly.
As I close out this series of 23 Trends for 2023, I've been thinking long and hard as to what the final, all-encompassing trend should be; to be honest, I've had several. But they've all had a common theme - all of us finally have the chance to look forward to what's next, rather than just concentrating right now on what we need to do to get through.
And so trend #23 is "Forward, finally!" - because we finally have the chance to move from triage to tomorrow!
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-its-time-to-move-from-triage-to-tomorrow/
@selzero@vmst.io This is why I have my own little Mastodon server over at futurist.info - I keep my federation name going forward, not reliant on some other server somewhere that might disappear. And I don't have an AOL or Hotmail-like address.
@shoq I was thinking the same thing; like mailmaps (jcarroll@jimcarroll.com pointing to keynotespeaker@gmail.com) or CNAME's for DNS.
ChatGPT, 1935.
I'm not even 1 day in using the Mastodon interface from @elk and I can't say enough good things about it. Here's another example - scrolling through my notifications, not only do I see new people who have followed me but I instantly see who they are via their profile. No extra clicking.
Masterful!
(Also, look up at the image, some dude Elon follows me LOL and likes my stuff!)
@me@catgirl.is @elk
Almost exactly, and I like it. Muscle memory maybe! Us old geezers online don't change fast!
@evoterra@home.social @elk Isn't it less than 24 hours old though? Not bad for an alpha release!
@evoterra@home.social @elk
I get the reward for the stupidest post of all time. )-;
Someone shared this with me the other day after I put out a post looking for it.
This sums up our world.
The fun thing about writing my just completed '23 Trends for 2023' series is that it helped me to clarify in my mind what folks need to be doing to align to what's next. I just spent a few minutes putting this together - sort of modelled on my 10 Great Words series.
I like the first one - 'embrace the chaos'. We can't fight it; we might as well make the most of it!
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/10-great-strategies-for-2023-what-are-the-ceos-thinking-about/
@MelanieJoyArt I'm sharing this with a buddy of mine. Tom Morley. He was the drummer for an 80s new wave band, Scritti Pollitti; he appeared on a number of Bowie tracks over the years. He'll be touched.
@robinbrenizer@home.social @shoq
I followed 100 random people to start out. Before I knew it, my timeline was full, and diversity in thinking and insight was in my feed. I think that was pretty wonderful - and I'm all in here!
Let's face it; they just have hatred embedded in their souls.
I wrote this a number of years ago when one of my speakers bureaus dropped Corey Lewandowski, after his hateful comments about special needs kids.
My wife and I are involved with an adult special needs charity, and I think doing so has helped to engender more humanity into my soul. They don't have that.
Here's the post.
He knows he might be falling out of a window soon.
@Rasta @robinbrenizer@home.social @shoq
I'm following about 700. But I keep following more. It's wonderful!
BTW, I'm a Halifax native. Halifax West HS 73-76, then Dalhousie, left in 85. I still have some family down there.
@Rasta LOL. I lived on Shirley St for a time looking out at QEH.
Byte was my life in the 80's! And so was Bix - the Byte Information Exchange, which was such a wonderful online community! Thanks for the tip!
I did a leadership meeting with the global team for Motorola around this time. I suggested that Apple might do something that would give them a run for the money, and that others might chip away at their dominance. That they shouldn't be complacent. They dismissed it LOL. They had the RAZR!
Since then, I've used it as stage material on how companies can avoid doing stupid things.
Complacency is the killer drug!
https://jimcarroll.com/2019/06/motofail-why-do-smart-companies-do-really-stupid-things/
@KaiserOfNone@vmst.io @User47@vmst.io
It's not inexpensive. As I mentioned, I pay a significant fee for use. It's mostly aimed at large corporate research and PR groups.
Sadly, I've got my Daily Inspiration image for tomorrow morning.
After discovering that anyone who signed up for the mailing list via my Web site was never actually added to the database. It might have been an error for a year! Not a happy guy. But as always, there's something to be learned. Not sure what yet, but there is something to be learned.
Write up in the morning.
Would you be willing to pay for a version of ChatGPT that guaranteed access?
(There was a story in the media today that they are exploring this. It's probably inevitable; currently there are access issues. I have no affiliation or involvement with the company! Just curious!)
Context for the poll via @nicfab
Dear @ivory
I have the phrase 'nice guy' in my bio.
I've also been hanging out in this online world since 1982.
Mabye those 2 things might cause you to think, "let's send him a DM with the Testflight"
Thank you kindly!
@KNERD @ivory 76407,3502. That was my Compuserve ID. I still have some of those messages kicking around; I've kept most of the email I've sent and received since '82. (Not a typo)
And LOL on the CC!
I've been sharing this too much in the last few days but it explains everything.
Sorry, wrong thread. I thought I was responding to the thread of my trying to get access to the Ivory iOS app!
Daily Inspiration: "You can never be too short of great ideas!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
(The image for today changed. My wife hasn't finished what she was supposed to finish for today's post so I had to come up with a new one!)
I've always been a big believer that you should never stop 'ideating' - that is, thinking of new ideas, exploring new concepts, and trying new things. Because that's long been the key to finding tomorrow!
Ideas? I have no shortage of those. Nor should you!
Here's a post I did quote some time ago of 101 random ideas that I accumulated on scraps of paper until one day I typed them all into a post!
1. If you aren't scared of your competition, you should be.
2. If you don't know what comes next, learn more
3. If a committee is killing your creativity, kill the committee
4. If you seek the status quo, stop
5. Everyone has a different breaking point - make yours stronger
See all 101 at:
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-you-can-never-be-too-short-of-great-ideas/
Today's weather has a low cloud deck with sweeping waves of fog, highlighted by a light drizzle that might freeze on contact. The complete absence of snow. Also, it's still really dark because the cloud deck is so low.
What's not to like?
Maybe we can do better with great ideas assembled by small minds.
Great ideas will also get us out of this climate mess.
Meanwhile, near me.
Ya, I guess you're right. No hope for any of us. Might as well shut it all down. Ideas don't matter. We're just doomed. Have a nice day!
Congrats on your efforts.
But.
I don't need a Mastodon account over on Medium, but it would be nice to see a way to elegantly integrate my posts over there to here. You should get more involved with ActivityPub.
I also suspect most writers are going to want to pursue having their 'own' identity - so for me here, my own instance futurist.info ... rather than being a part of some other instance domain. Those will look like AOL or Hotmail addresses over time....
So think of how you support *that*
The story of building my own instance is over on my Substack -
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
But then given the authors tools so that while gmail.com is at the back end, their preferred social media name is out on the front end.
So I'm jcarroll@jimcarroll.com, but that merely does all kinds of the domain and another mapping to my back-end keyotespeaker@gmail.com account
That's where Mastodon needs to go, IMHO.
Lots of folks with their own domain names actually still use Hotmail and other mail at the back end. They just never show the embarrassment of it. (-;
@paul I presume you've already got photos like this? If not, here you go!
To me, it seems like you are itching for a fight. I don't care to participate. So, like I said, have a nice day!
Interesting!
cc. BernieMadoff
"To participate in this corner via a medium-length tool would mean participation from people who are blindly syndicating at worst, and having a disconnected experience at best. It'd be disrespectful to the community here."
As a long-time veteran here (2 months LOL!), I've found that engagement here is a) rewarding b) necessary, and c) respectful .... so a situation in which content creators simply dump links of things they've written elsewhere just really isn't helpful, so I'm encouraged by your words here.
Anyone coming here has to get over the hurdle of 'how do I join?' Gosh knows that has been talked about ad-naseum. So the fact they are helping some folks get through that hurdle is a good thing.
Plus, we know big tech companies are going to come here. It's inevitable. This place will change. Right now, in here, it's about February 1993 in Usenet.
@coachMastodon
One quick thing you could do is allow people to embed the 'verified' code into their Medium page.
I know lots of Medium folks who are well-established here already want to do that.
Also, enhance your commitment by getting rid of this thing and replacing it with an elephant.
Plus an elephant here.
These are fast-easy fixes that would say a lot. It's easy to spin up an instance. It's harder to signal the solidification of a mind-shift.
(-;
Not all folks use @Medium as the only place they publish. To use your phrase, it is only a 'side-hustle'
For many folks, Medium is just another place to post content where it is followed by people who are on that platform. My Daily Inspiration hits - > it goes to my blog, then here, and also out to Medium, Substack, LinkedIn (mail list), LinkedIn (page), my mailing list, Facebook (personal), Facebook (business), Post.news (I don't know why I bother...), Flickr, and Instagram. I have followers for it on each of those platforms. So I use Medium as someone who generates content that people follow, but it's just another 'thing,' not *the* 'thing'
As to $1,000 to get it up and running..My little Vultr Mastodon instance still hustles along at $14 a month. So the fact it cost them a wee-bit and me a wee-bit is a testament, I would say, to the success of what the Mastodon developers have done. We live in magical times!
I'd be interested in knowing how easy it might be to integrate this into my own self-hosted single-user instance, i.e. so I could be
jimsblog@futurist.info
or something like that.
Is it just another nginx block in my existing? Has anyone done this?
New here?
When I joined the Fediverse via Mastodon - forever ago, 2 months ago! - I did certain things that I think have made this a wonderful experience
If you are new here, might find this helpful:
1. To start, I followed 100 random people
2. I started engaging with them
3. I also looked at the bios of those who engaged with me
4. I followed lots more people as a result
5. I followed people I might not have otherwise normally followed
6. I used my social media serenity prayer when I posted so as to not fall into a reaction trap
7. I tried to listen to the oldtimers - coming here as a stranger in a strange land, I could learn from them
8. I learned about boosting, bookmarks, hashtags & why they are the soul of how this works
9. I learned to say 'Fediverse', not 'Mastodon'
10. I filled out my bio with honesty, knowing this was the way that people might choose to engage with me (It's the first time I've ever publicly admitted my sobriety - I'm comfortable and safe here!)
That would be a huge thing IMHO!
@shoq @mmasnick @jeffjarvis @zephoria
Did you not get the memo that this whole Internet thing is just a fad? Millions were giving up on it.
Um, Popular Mechanix from 80 years ago would like to have a word with you.
Nice to meet you.
I #selfhost too, Mastodon.
I see you are doing WriteFreeley on the same domain name - are you running it on the same server, same Nginx with just another server block? Was it complicated/
My first Internet books came out in '93. While the Net was exploding in use, it was already a fad. I use to do book tours and that's all the press wanted to talk about: "when would this fad die?" Twas' ever thus.
@AdditionalQuench @shoq @mmasnick @jeffjarvis @zephoria
All media did this. Here's just a bit from 1996.
Also, article #7 is fun. There was a lot of that. Teens and bombs. Yikes!
Well, pretty much the same here. Mine's on a Vultr Ubuntu 22.04. I relax as root. If I were to explore doing this, I'd spin up another server, build another instance and then try and build the blog around it under another domain name. I'm conversant with all 'nix, DNS, nginx etc. Just wondering how complex it was. Might be a fun project.
LOL. My sons have Home Assistant setups on Pi's, and I have to go and do the cert renewal for them every 3 months.
Nice setup. It might be a project for me down the road, but I am spending *way* too much time in here already.
@benjaminmetzler @shoq @mmasnick @jeffjarvis @zephoria
Clifford Stoll was on Bix in the late 80's; conversed with him a lot. Lots of us were in shock when he went all anti-Net. But his book about the hack attack and the missing pennies prior to that was fantastic!
I keep hearing via @atomicpoet and others that lots of devs, and in particular ex-Twitter devs, are coming over in droves / have been, so I have no doubt that this place will improve.
But then, I'm an optimist. I have to be given my job. I can't walk out on stage with an opening line, 'guess what, your future sucks!'
@AdditionalQuench @shoq @mmasnick @jeffjarvis @zephoria
Been there. I brought this book out in 1999 and everyone told me I was an idiot. No one would ever buy anything online. LOL.
(But we did talk Visa into buying 50,000 copies to give away to merchants)
Good times!
I set mine at 1,000. #selfhost 'ed
Do you get pushback for 3,000? Internally or externally?
I now have about 6 new things to learn as a result of meeting you!
Nice to meet you.
I guess as a BB fan I shouldn't share the pre-event video I did at a gig out there?
Nah. I'm gonna share it.
This is the perfect reason why the Fediverse should support a mapping architecture, vis-a-vis what we do with email.
So your long term name here is something like anil@anildash.com and it merely points and does magic to whatever you have in the background, in this case, over at me.dm
Perfect use case.
@mmasnick @shoq @AdditionalQuench @jeffjarvis @zephoria
Nice to meet you. Sorry to mess up your timeline. I suspect given the interest that the thread has created that it might go on for a time. So ya, I guess this is how development requests originate.
I had an abandoned post or draft or whatever with an image. I could not get rid of it. I tried everything including clearing my cache. Eventually, I just had to send a message to clear it. Thought you might want to explore if there might be a bug here.
What a wonderful banner. It just ... works!
via @Resister
One of my life goals is to have a round of golf with Alice. His book Golf Monster was very important to me.
And my wife still gets mad when I play Hello Hooray really loud!
Oh, well, it works! Most of my Daily Inspirations at https://inspiration.jimcarroll.com come from Canva. Love it.
By the way, here's an old thing in your space from 11 years ago
https://jimcarroll.com/2011/02/the-future-of-seniors-care-assisted-living-big-trends-or-crazy-ideas/
Daily Inspiration: "Always remember that every mistake is just an investment in your eventual success!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
I discovered to my horror two days ago that a small bit of code that was supposed to send your e-mail from the form that people used to sign up to the mailing list version of my post wasn't sending the details to the database. All kinds of new subscribers were never added to the list. The result is that this is the first Daily Inspiration e-mail they will actually receive.
Oops!
We fixed it - but also view it as a learning experience.
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-you-can-never-be-too-short-of-great-ideas/
Good point. I had a bunch of people posting multiple times yesterday about the Special Counsel appointment, so good to know!
Looks like there might be two bestselling books in 2024!
#mastoadmin 's probably going to be dealing with another spike in signups.
Also, how many of us take delight in this failure?
It's sad - I own a Model 3, but am now firmly in the camp in which I want to see him fail. I try not to, but Schadenfreude is a powerful drug.
Is the arrival and commitment of - Medium to the Fediverse:
(Medium@medium@me.dm)
My backyard.
And this one, which seems to have lost the fight.
I don't think so. But its pretty intuitive; visit the page, and it should request an authorization to your account. This uses what is called an API, so it isn't using your password but a 'token' that you auhorize your account to give it. It will then load your account stuff -- and it will look exactly like what you would have been used to for T**** via the web.
@stwhite @GossiTheDog @atomicpoet
Some reports that it's not the API but the API authorization.
CEO hubris. It's a terrible thing.
I studied 40 years of research that I pulled out on "CEO hubris and arrogance." This is what I summarized.. Sounds like someone you might be referring to? He ticks all the boxes.
It's quite the read when I summarize what I pulled together with a long list of corporate failures over 40 years driven by this hubris. The full post is here:
Nice thread line there.
Dark humour would update this post with:
4th change. Removing the API.
Sorry for the way this has worked out for you and everyone else reliant on them. As my mom would always say, 'there will be better days.' Hang i there?
I'm Canadian. We just look south with wonder
@tdp@mastodon.social How you can respond.
(Seen in a group of speakers/bureaus that I am part of)
I have my image for my Daily Inspiration which I will write tomorrow morning.
I was 9 years old when it happened, and the memory is forever seared in my mind. And I believe that moment, and RFK months later, forever shaped my approach to the world around me.
@johngbell95 @tdp@mastodon.social
I get that 'exposure' one all the time. Then I suggest they take a look at my client list!
I wish I had search on my instance...because way back in the olden days here - November, 3 months ago LOL! - I had a post that said I think it's inevitable brands / corps are goign to show up ; that they'll do so under their own instance; and that to me, it seems like 1993 here and the Web has just arrived. We then saw a flurry of activity.
I'm not quite sure about the timing, but I'm pretty sure it will happen.
I suppose we just need one thing to kick it off. I don't know what that will be yet either!
(-;
@coachtony There is a RedHat fellow around here somewhere who was saying the same thing. I suggested they should have a simple Mastodon install in a package, and he thought the same thing. I think we will see Ubuntu and others go this path as well. And with that, its only a matter of time before major cloud vendors do the same thing. The setup is kind of trivial; it's the scale and reliability that matter. I think the biggest thing will be the cultural challenge - this is NOT the other site and any corp could be blacklisted pretty easily. This almost seems like the early days of Usenet when there were RFC's and Acceptable Use Policies and such.
But I'm pretty convinced this will be the long-term path. I'm also over on Post.News and it's, um, weird.
Oh.
Hello!
The next step of exploration begins.
I think I have to do an ActivityPub thing.
What about the M21 'portable?' That was my device from about 1986 to 89 or so. I use to drag the bloody thing through subways to take it home from the office.
And I have an Olivetti M10 downstairs - that's what I used in 1982 with a 300 baud acoustic coupler!
I'm going to explore setting up Writefreely on my futurist.info admin, under an Nginx proxy.
The first step though is to grab a wildcard LetsEncrypt certificate; right now, I have one only for the main domain (I would probably do something like blog.futurist.info for the Writefreely bit)
Any thoughts if this will break things with Mastodon off the bat?
@dangillmor This is a wonderful read. And this sentence gets me.
It's that type of comment that makes me realize I need to double down on ActivityPub, and hence, I'm exploring how to get Writefreely happening in my space. I've already played around with Peertube, but maybe it's time to move beyond play. What I'm hearing someone like Craig say is he and others might pull together tools that help to pull this stuff together. To me, that's exciting!
I've long said that some of the most innovative/creative thinking comes when people are pushed against the wall.
What I really believe is happening right now is that developers who relied on an API have been slammed into a proverbial wall. They're pretty pissed, and it now seems they are going to throw their creative energy at some of the underlying disconnectedness that is ActivityPub.
Go read the post by @chockenberry ... and the part where he talks about pulling together disparate parts of this thing.
This line ---> "It feels like the time is right for a truly universal timeline." <----
Whoah!
Magic is out there!
Daily Inspiration: "Our hope for the future is ordained by the giants who have walked among us!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
I was 8 years old when it happened; I would turn 9 just a few days later.
They say that young people today form impressions from the news as early as the age of 2. Back on April 4, 1968, we didn't have much in the way of news media.
But I vividly remember waking up on the morning of April 9 and hearing the news of the assassination of Martin Luther King. I knew that I had just done a small project - whatever it is that an 8-year-old might do - about him a few months prior. I remember riding my bike to school with my friends, talking to them, and wondering what it all meant - that remains forever seared in my memory. I was confused by the fact they didn't seem to know about it or didn't seem to care.
These pivotal moments in history helped to shape my beliefs and attitudes today.
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-our-hope-for-the-future-is-ordained-by-the-giants-who-have-walked-among-us/
Welcome to the elephant!
It's much nicer here. Less toxic. And a LOT of interesting people.
To get started, do what I did - I described it in this post last week.
@PeterBronez @coachtony @kidehen
Whoah.
I suspect that discussions have become a fair bit more heated and will be even more so in the days to come, as the hordes come in! It wlll be fascinating to read through some of this.
@georgetakei Well, GOP voters are also dying because of stupidity.
Heck of a strategy.
@georgetakei The interesting thing is that I predicted this, EXACTLY, in my 2017 post, "The Emerging Healthcare Reality Crisis"
My words of 2017 almost echo where we are today. And check the maps. They verify.
---
What I wrote:
There are vast sections of the population today who do not believe in science. They don’t believe in facts. They don’t believe in much other than what they want to believe in.
Their belief system will increasingly drive their attitude and understanding of their healthcare circumstances.
*Going forward, this new reality will prove to be a tremendous challenge for the healthcare system*.
....Many will die an early death.
---
https://jimcarroll.com/2017/02/trend-the-emerging-healthcare-reality-crisis/
@socialkindness1 @georgetakei It sorts of ties into my brand.
😀
AI is the new crypto.
@pinkyfloyd@pleroma.payfrit.com @freakinbox I'm taking a shot at the crypto investment collapse; all the groups rushing into it because of FOMO; the collapse of FTX; etc. Been saying for years this would end up just like dot.com companies, and, well..here we are. Same thing will happen with ChatGPT etc. Massive rush of investing (already happening) ; corp groups rushing to get involved because of FOMO; lots of opportunities for hype-driven projects. etc.
@freakinbox @pinkyfloyd@pleroma.payfrit.com
Let me try and explain my thinking with this post:
Well, I've got my image together for my Daily Inspiration, which I'll start writing around 5 am tomorrow!
LOL.
Running now. Get your bids in!
There are a few of these on the Twitter auction site - soundproof 'phone booths.'
Forgive my ignorance, but are these things common in office spaces?
Daily Inspiration: "The wisdom of the crowd will turn any hero to a zero in but an instant!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
When you've lost the developers, you've lost the future
If you are in technology, you will know the truth of that statement; if you aren't, things won't much matter to you. But in the ongoing soap opera that has marked Elon Musk, this weekend marked a new low in human empathy, respect, and perhaps, intelligence. The further damage to his 'brand' and image has been incalculable, particularly among the community of software developers and tech evangelists who once worshiped him as a hero, but now view him as a zero.
--
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-the-wisdom-of-the-crowd-will-turn-any-hero-to-a-zero-in-but-an-instant/
@atomicpoet The GOP would end up defending the Taliban as a result.
@anildash I just want a decent way to search my instance. Elasticsearch as a solution is horrid - resource intensive, it's the .NET of Mastodon.
Todays's news, two images.
I worked your quote from your blog post into this post, and this was my conclusion
"When you've lost the developers, you've lost the future."
All of us are looking forward to your efforts. So sorry things have unfolded this way.
@KNERD Hardly true, but have at it.
Via @joelg, Buffer is arriving.
When you get burned by an API, you give up on the API
@KNERD No issues with that. But its' hardly 'can barely keep their electrical grid afloat'.
anthony@journa.host Some things never change. They've been predicting a recession since, well, forever.
@KNERD Yup. I just defer to the smartest guy I know in energy, who sent me this based on yours.
@mmochroi Um, this. It's been happening for a long time.
2017 - "The Emerging Healthcare Reality Crisis"
Diabetes, hypertension, obesity, Trump support, and now vaccine / Covid denial.
The maps all line up.
https://jimcarroll.com/2017/02/trend-the-emerging-healthcare-reality-crisis/
@mmochroi For years, I'd use this video on stage to demonstrate.
Guns, gods, politics and junk food, and stuff.
Congrats to #Apple on the release of some powerful new machines today.
Too bad they keep failing though!
@paul Are you trying Writefreely?
@coachtony @supernovae@universeodon.com As I understand it, it will help to extend the reach/discoverability of those on me.dm, and give them more visibility to what is 'out there.'
Think of it as throwing open your doors to welcome more people to find what you've got going on outside, at the same time that you are encouraging the folks inside to get out and play.
@paul Got it. I'm working to do WriteFreely to do content that already goes to my blog. It's ActivityPub based so it will flow into here. Seeing the ex-TW developers flock here, my thinking is that this is all going to come together here.
This Twitter article is *something*, but this line has to be the funniest in retrospect.
He's long talked about trying to make Twitter into a WeChat.
But since he has taken a machine gun to developer trust, this is not even in the realm of possibility now. He's totally destroyed all trust with the developer community.
#developers #api #ElonMusk #twitter
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/elon-musk-twitter-takeover.html
@robkopp@sself.co Welcome,.
And this was my advice.
Fill out your bio. Follow people. Participate. More in this post.
@asher@toad.social @anildash It's not just the process of elasticsearch; that was a bit straightforward. It was the serious resource pig that it was.
I'm not finding the core #writefreely docs as helpful as the Mastodon ones were in setting up my single instance host.
I'm stuck. I've been following this guide - a bit date with a few typos.
https://theo-andreou.org/installing-a-writefreely-weblog
I know nginx is running. I know Mariadb is ok.
Are there any logs anywhere or something I can try to find the error?
Update: nginx proxy work is the devil's work. I can never get it right.
Writefreely is set to use port 80, as in nginx, and they're not happily co-existing. I don't see a path out of this via the docs. Any suggestions?
Is there a #writefreely admin tag like #mastoadmin ?
A little more progress LOL
Well, hot damn, there goes another afternoon, but I'm sure having fun!
@iuculano Having a fight with file permissions now.
'Nix file permissions were designed to defeat us.
And the file permissions defeated my latest attempt.
Nginx can't access the static / js / other files even though they've got 755 permissions.
The #writefreely docs need work.
@drvolts These people have vile filth embedded in their soul.
Read the story of what happened when one of my speaker bureaus dumped Cory Lendowski after he made sick comments about special needs children.
My wife and I are involved with a charity for special needs young adults. https://eventsfor.life. Go watch the Sing video on that site and try not to have your emotions wild.
I am so sick of Thiel et al. Barbaric.
Here's the story.
@xises Fixed it. But man, I've wasted 30 years of my life fighting this stuff.
@xises I dunno. If I ever get the magic of having grandkids, I can have them see me pounding the keyboard.
BTW, nice to meet you. I ski down the road at Georgian Peaks; have a place there; my wife are involved in this initiative in Thornbury -> https://eventsfor.life
Ok doke. Success.
I've got a Writely instance up, for now on a separate little server.
Put up my first post - my Daily Inspiration from this morning - about the Chief Twit.
I'm trying out Writely because I'm convinced that as the developers arrive here (Tweetbot et al) they'll do something to pull together multiple different ActivityPub Sources into one cohesive 'thing', whatever that might be.
@chris @chrisale #selfhosting is a hashtag that is used by folks who are doing their own servers ... and welcome. (I'm a Mac geek got about 12 around the house, but my setup is on a Linux Ubuntu cloud) (12 is not a typo, I have a lot of old Macbooks repurposed with Linux for various things)
@xises Ok, that is small-world stuff. Yes, I know that program.
Here's a post I did about EFL and initiatives like this - Trend #12 of my '23 Trends for 2023' - Doubling Down on Dignity
https://jimcarroll.com/2022/12/23-trends-for-2023-12-doubling-down-on-dignity/
@caseynewton Behind the post lies some empty vessel of a human, someone working at Twitter who has lost their humanity by staying on board, willing to tell the lies of a madman.
@jeff@newsie.social
It's here.
https://www.oxfordlearnersdictionaries.com/definition/english/happiness?q=happiness
Daily Inspiration: "Stop trying to use old solutions on new problems!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
We can't do today what we did yesterday knowing that our circumstances are fundamentally different - and we sure as heck can be sure that it won't work tomorrow! We need to have a flood of new ideas with new solutions to deal with the fact that change is ongoing, relentless, and overwhelming.
You're part of the problem if you never have any new solutions!
Old solutions are the easy way out; they are based on long-established assumptions, habits, and routines. They're comfortable. They're what we know how to do - they don't challenge us in any way. They're easy. They align with that the fact that we can often become lazy and complacent.
The approach of trying old ideas on new challenges never works, simply because of the nature of the word new.
--
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-stop-trying-to-use-old-solutions-on-new-problems/
Not ignoring you. This will be the focus on my Daily Inspiration story tomorrow or Friday. The comments got me thinking. Will report back via the post.
@matthewbennett Leaked image of a bestselling book from 2024.
After all, I'm a futurist.
@atomicpoet People who define the future.
As with every day around this time, I've got my image for tomorrow's Daily Inspiration ready.
I had a lot of fun writing my '23 Trends for 2023' series, and it got a lot of positive feedback.
I decided to keep up the pace and will be starting an open-ended series starting this Monday.
The short-attention-span world means that many people focus on short-term fast trends - and that's important.
But it's the big, substantive, transformative trends where the opportunities lie.
Stay tuned!
@shoq My god, what an extraordinary woman she is. A role model for the world with everything she has done - including this. God bless her!
Hey everyone! Let me sell you this NFT!!!!
Oh, wait, whoops.
(Checks watch. It's 2023)
Hey, everyone, let me sell you this AI!!!!
Everyone should just give a shoutout to the fact a news station broadcaster in Newfoundland, Canada, is on Mastodon / the Fediverse.
Find them via @NTVNewsNL
and
The media are coming. And a little TV network in Canada seems to be leading the way.
@jeff@newsie.social
Daily Inspiration: "The road to inevitability is inevitably messy!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
Here's a story that gives me this conclusion - the path to the future is always uneven, messy, and complex. With that in mind, maybe it's a good idea to reinforce your understanding of the short-term volatility that occurs with any long-term trend.
--
Read the full post at: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-the-road-to-inevitability-is-inevitably-messy/
Blog post from @chockenberry
They've pulled the apps from the iPhone and Mac app store.
Such a sad and unnecessarysituation.
https://blog.iconfactory.com/2023/01/twitterrific-end-of-an-era/
Elon Musk: "We're going to build an 'everything app' - a WeChat type app that thousands of developers will want to tie into - it will be epic! "
Also Elon Musk: "We're not going to allow any developers access to our site, and we'll simply make shit up to explain why"
https://www.engadget.com/twitter-new-developer-terms-ban-third-party-clients-211247096.html
Gosh, this is sad to read.
Via @chockenberry
Well, I've got my image for tomorrow morning.
It comes from, well, being a skier in eastern North America.
I published today's Daily Inspiration to my Writely instance.
I'm still torn about Writely. It's nice and simple and is part of the Fediverse. But my Wordpress-based blog also has an Activity Pub plugin, so I'm not sure of the benefit.
But since I talk about innovation, I'll try it out and see what happens.
Immediately on publishing it had 17 views. I can't imagine these are people looking so quickly. Is there some automated thing happening?
@paul @andypiper So I guess this means if he develops an "everything app" and invites developers to take part, you won't be part of the plan?
😀
R.I.P. David Crosby
Few people know that he played the role of a sponsor in The John Larroquette Show.
Here's a clip. He battled with his sobriety throughout his life.
Daily Inspiration: "Let your lows define your highs!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
It's a tough time to be a skier in eastern North America! And it's even worse in Europe.
We who ski remind ourselves of the fact that there is nothing we can do about it, and so there are a lot of people who are saying 'it is what is!' We seem to continually remind ourselves -- 'it could be worse!' And it could be, clearly. That there are bigger problems in the world. That we shouldn't be so narrowly focused on our situation.
I am willing to admit, though, that it is very frustrating - and it's getting to me!
--
But some days, I gotta tell ya!
But - I also know that I can't let my lows define my highs.
I need to let lows define my highs.
There is a difference in those statements. Think about that!
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-let-your-lows-define-your-highs/
@mjf_pro @mmasnick " ..... private ...." LOL. After the Twitter files, we know nothing there is private anymore. If he wants to look and release he will.
@coachtony @mmasnick Elon : "I'm going to build the world's super app!"
Also Elon: "I'm going to read and release anything I like, because I own the joint"
Zero trust = zero future.
A question for #mastoadmin
How do I know if my little single user #selfhost #Selfhosting instance is healthy?
Screenshot of sidekiq, pghero, my vultr server status and glances.
Everything looks ok, but is there anything I should be looking for to see if the system is stressed? Are there any useful docs out there that summarize how I should be interpreting the Mastodon Sidekiq and PgHero pages? Is the number of 'failed' and 'dead' normal?
Any thoughts/guidance would be helpful!
July 26, 2016
@KNERD The whole point of my post is that the road to the future is rocky. So it might go well in California. Maybe not. The end result is the same - electric vehicles and clean energy. Shit might happen along the way. End result doesn't change.
And for every article you might send me that things will go wrong, I can probably find an equal number that indicate it will go right.
https://insideevs.com/news/628885/will-electric-vehicles-crash-grid/
@JamesGleick @jjn1 @guardian This is a wonderful read. Well done @jjn1 ... !
@paulomalley I've got my own instance, just me, and bumped to 1,000 characters. Totally different experience. And no pushback from folks who follow me.
@azcoigreach Thanks! Will give that a try!
I've got my image for tomorrow morning's Daily Inspiration post. It's coinciding with the launch of my new, infrequent series, The Big Future.
Daily Inspiration: "Think BIG. Your future will thank you for it." - #Futurist Jim Carroll
In times of volatility, people tend to become pessimistic about what's next.
But, the future doesn't care - it marches on.
The result is that we tend to see short-term trends but miss out on big long-term ones. We lose faith in the future when short-term volatility happens, but the long-term future fails to notice our apathy. We stop innovating and inventing at the very moment in time when history tells us that it is critical to double down on initiative. The speed of change also seems to numb us to the impact and potential of our longer-term future - as trends come at us with greater speed and intensity, we tend to lose sight of the long-term opportunities as short-term issues come to dominate our views.
With that in mind, it’s a good time to think about "The Big Future."
Full post-> https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-think-big-your-future-will-thank-you-for-it/
Dreams.
I'm still posting my Daily Inspiration to my Writely instance. I'm still not quite sure what this will get me, but all part of the learning process.
It's here:
https://insight.futurist.info/jimcarroll/
and you can follow me there!
Any chance I've got some apache/litespeed folks out there?
I'm examining the process of moving a web site, and it goes from Nginx to Litespeed (on Wordpress)
I've got a bunch of subdomains that I use, and would be looking to have these domains go to a particular page.
I'm trying this in .htaccess and am not having any luck; it just hits the main page.
i.e. I want https://2023 .jacc. com to hit https://jacc.com/ topics-trends/ 23-trends-for-2023
RewriteRule ^/topics-trends/23-trends-for-2023/$ https://2023.jacc.com/? [L,R=301]
RewriteRule ^/keynote_topics/big-trends-in-agriculture-what-will-the-worlds-oldest-profession-look-like-in-2045/$ https://agriculture.jacc.com/? [L,R=301]
RewriteRule ^/keynote_topics/industry-auto-and-trucking/$ https://automotive.jacc.com/? [L,R=301]
In between working on my server settings, I've also been working on this trends piece. It's the first in my new series, "The Big Future"
Fascinating stuff going on out there!
@mike
This. So much this.
If the folks at NYTimes, WaPo, and everywhere else had any brains, they'd be busy setting up their own instances to explore what is happening here.
Back in November, after the attack on journalists, I ran a poll asking when people thought they would see this happen. Most thought, 1-2 months.
Clearly, media is failing.
They should be called out.
I’ve got my image for tomorrow morning’s Daily Inspiration. It’s related to the trends piece I’m doing for my Big Future series.
I got really excited today when I discovered the National Eye Institute's Audacious Goals Initiative. Whoah. I live for this stuff.
@Jonathanglick @mike Fair enough. Great point. But one would think we’d at least see more of them here in a substantive, experimental way.
If they arent’ really exploring this at an instance level, they won’t get it.
Hmmmm...
At my ski club and my golf club, I institued the idea of an 'Ambassador program' - there to introduce new people to the unique culture, rules, vibe, scheduels and stuff. It's wonderful for onboarding new people.
We should have a Fediverse Ambassador program. Techs for tech guidance and guides for culture.
Some context.
I understand one of the weaknesses here is threads are always/usually broken, are they not?
@f4grx Doesn't beat the 18-year-old kind who bought an old mainframe - and got it working.
His parents were a little upset, given the small basement.
Daily Inspiration: "Only those who dare to pursue the boldest of visions and the most outrageous of goals ever achieve the greatest of outcomes!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
So I'm preparing the first post in my new series, "The Big Future" - it's about the rapid advances having to do with "regenerative medicine." While catching up on my research yesterday, I came across the National Eye Institute's Audacious Goals Initiative. This phrase immediately captured my attention and imagination!
"The Audacious Goals Initiative (AGI) for Regenerative Medicine is an effort by the National Eye Institute (NEI) to push the boundaries of vision science and restore vision through regeneration of the retina."
Audacious goals! I love the phrase! You should too!
Immersive (headset) VR is kind of dumb. Tech drive super-hype.
Non-immersive AR has massive potential - digital twins, AR and data come together for real-world insight.
I covered this in trend #17 of my '23 Trends for 2023' series.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/23-trends-for-2023-17-non-immersive-vr-and-ar/
@LittleStrings My Daily Inspiration - going since August 2016, haven't missed one day ' - now has me writing 6,000 to 10,000 words early each morning. I find if I don't write, I get grumpy. It's the first thing I do, usually around 5/515am. Coffee helps LOL. But the key thing - its a defined block of time I build into my day.
@tylergaw @MattHodges I did surgery throughout the footer of my entire Wordpress site.
HOW COMMITTED ARE YOU?
I recently spent some time changing the footer throughout my Web site to get rid of the other thing and to reference Mastodon. It took some work to dig into the code and screens to find it - and I probably have not hunted it all down.
But I'm all in.
Are you?
I still have an account over there; I need it for some research activities I do. But I'm not posting. I want anyone who follows me to know I'm OVER HERE!
@tylergaw Yes. The story is told here.
My commitment here means that I wanted my core brand to be here. I could have done it under my name jimcarroll.com name, but I had this other domain kicking around.
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
Tech right now is dark and ugly and not fun for many people; layoffs, a crazy guy at another place; a downturn.
To try to bring some kindness to a small part of the world, I just signed up for the Premier version of Ivory from @paul and the folks at Tapbot.
Ivory is out! Consider supporting them - and supporting the many other developers who are moving Mastodon.
Because developers matter!
https://apps.apple.com/gb/app/ivory-for-mastodon-by-tapbots/id6444602274
Plus, we should just pay for what we will know be damn good software!
@gadgetoid Hello.
@gadgetoid Are you doing a test to try to see the extent of your reach on Mastodon?
I had a LOT of fun researching and writing this piece - the first in a new trends series I'm running called "The BIG Future" ---> https://bigfuture.jimcarroll.com
----
We might live longer. We will see the reduction, elimination, or perhaps eradication of diseases. We'll fix broken bones with lab-grown materials. We will grow human organs for transplant.
It all involves rapid advances involving what is known as "regenerative medicine."
We are quickly learning how to grow replacement tissues and organs in a lab, and how to stimulate the body's own repair mechanisms to deal with disease or accident-driven tissue damage. The acceleration of regenerative medicine is perhaps the most exciting, and most staggering of all trends in the world of healthcare science - leading us to a world that involves significant new opportunities to deal with disease, aging, accidents, and more!
@gadgetoid Follow 100 or 200 random people. Magic happens. It's an eclectic crowd out there.
Oh, and I have about 7 pi's. ADS-B stuff, plus 2 for Home Assistant. My 27 and 29 year old sons have them for HA, and are FAR more advanced. The 29 year old has his doing inside vertical farming type stuff, building his own soil sensors and stuff. Magic! Nice to meet you.
It exists!!!
That thing behind me is called the sun. It's where the blue sky is! Two of them, together! This is a remarkable day. This is truly a remarkable day!!!!!!!!!'
I've got my image for my early morning Daily Inspiration that will come out tomorrow morning. As always, I'll write the story around it with coffee and motivation somewhere past 5am. As always, it might change!
(Backstory for new folks - since August 2016, I have written my Daily Inspiration. I have not missed one single work day since that time. Not one. It's a bit of an obsession!)
This mornings Daily Inspiration is also over on my Writely.
Still not sure why I'm putting it there but I'm learning.
Daily Inspiration: "The Secret Guide to Innovation: Discover what gets you excited about tomorrow! Get excited about doing it! Do it!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
People often ask me - how I write one of these posts each and every day.
What's my secret?
My response is simple: "I like to write."
I've found that if I am not writing this 'thing' first thing in the morning, I get kind of grumpy. This daily post sets the tone for my day and gets me started; it establishes my mindset of optimism and my focus on innovation and the future.
Similarly, people want to know the secret to successful innovation. Ok, here it is: it's simple.
Find something you like to do that you think has potential for inventing or doing something new. Think about it a lot - your passion provides your purpose. Set out to do it. Do it.
That's it!
That's the secret to innovation. It's not complex, it's not hard, and it's not mysterious.
@violetathena who will be the Hungary or Turkey of the age diverse?
@Chanders @davekarpf @jeff@newsie.social
It's #2
I put this one together in November 2020.
It pretty much defines A.I. right now. All around us for a long time, and then suddenly - boom - everywhere, all at once.
@tjmadden1128@home.social This is what happens when the speaker before you goes on ad-naseum and eats into 20 minutes of your 40-minute keynote slot and you have to think and act fast on what you are going to cut while still preserving your message.
Next week.
@cliffwade@androiddev.social Folks don't know it, but Winston-Salem is the world leader in the fast-emerging branch of medical science known as "Regenerative Medicine." It's so far ahead of everyone else. I wrote about this in my BIG Trends piece yesterday. Some really cool stuff happening there!
->
@rebeccawatson@mstdn.social LOL. So 6 1/2 years has been great for me!
@jackmjenkins Follow new people. Don't get into old habits of following the same old people.
I started out when I migrated by following 100 random people - people I might never have connected with. I've probably got 500 randos now in addition to others I specifically followed. My timeline is rich and full and I'm learning stuff I might never have learned about, and am probably becoming a better human for it.
If you do that, you will find that it will help to heal some of the scar tissue accumulated at that 'other' place.
@cliffwade@androiddev.social They are so far ahead of the world it is pretty staggering. Safe to say that 10-20 years out, folks are going to look at the economic impact and go, 'whoah!'
Let's help all the new folks, always!
@shelby@fauxzen.com Hi Shelby, I'm over on a Vultr Ubuntu 22.04 2gb server. Works fine - no issues with performance or overloading. The key was media offload - in my case to Amazon S3
I tell the story here. Pleased to help you out if need be.
#mastoadmin #Selfhosting #selfhost
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
@shelby@fauxzen.com yes and yes. No Elasticsearch ; it was a resource pig; others have suggested it's the dot.net of the Fediverse.
S3 costs are crazy small.
@shelby@fauxzen.com
I mean, 2023 is just lit.
This is unreal. It works.
Spent days trying to figure this out and couldn't get it right.
Then, I thought, ask a bot!
@lurkingstranger@mindly.social @splicer I missed your post to this thread, and just went and ask ChatGPT a moment ago .. and it came back with this. Essentially what you had!
@mmasnick @atomicpoet There should be a crowdfunding campaign to raise funds to hire a few lawyers in a few jurisdictions worldwide to bury him in lawsuits, drown him in legal paper, and drag him into the gutter.
(once a fan, noi more)
@tero Here’s an update to that wonderful original Dependency image
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
I'll have some fun with this one!
cc @davew -> to the point of your post about Google vs. ChatGPT and writing code. This was my situation just today. It's epic.
Interesting read.
I must say though, if they were dealing with 160GB and didn't have a CDN offload strategy they were doing it wrong.
The points in the article are fair; and generally, newspapers should not be in the business of hosting an 'anyone can join' server. That would be like having a BBS back in the day. Way too much legal liability.
https://www.ft.com/content/8d995a24-d77c-4208-a3a6-603d8788ebcd
@touk A real futurist!
I think we were on Bix together back in the day. You might have also been on John Quarterman ("The Matrix") Netscribes mailing list? It had about 300 Internet book authors and columnists from 94 to '00. John says hi. He lives down in Louisiana somewhere and is doing actual swamp type stuff. He and I are still in touch.
Daily Inspiration: "Can you envision the types of companies that will be on the dow in 2030? I can!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Let's start here - most people presume that if you are a futurist, you must have an excellent track record at picking stocks on the market. I don't!
That said, I will say that I'm pretty good at understanding what is going to happen 'generally,' not 'specifically,' hence the disclaimer in my quote.
This is what we know about the Dow (or the NASDAQ, or the TSE, or other indices) of 2030 or 2040:
- there will be a number of companies on the index that won't be there
- there will be a number of small companies that exist today that will be on it
- there will be companies that do not yet exist that will be part of it.
That's been the reality ever since stock markets began; it doesn't take a lot of expertise to make that type of observation.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/daily-inspiration-the-secret-guide-to-innovation-discover-what-gets-you-excited-about-tomorrow-get-excited-about-doing-it-do-it/
In the midst of war, people still look to the future.
@User47@vmst.io I think the media buzz is that this is all cringe, but there is some real stuff happening.
Check out this search engine.
We are in the era of the disruption of search.
I had to film a little promo clip for a client this morning, so I jumped into my green screen studio and then my spaceship to film them a thing.
Fun times!
@zadrozny I'm so sick of these wingnuts.
Also, 20 years out, this will be an identified psychological mental illness.
This is what happens to me when I get depressed about these idiots.
On the other hand, they are self-culling themselves.
@lhamilton1515 @zadrozny Good point. I probably have missed other issues too. It's all quite depressing.
I’ve got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow!
The story involves a snorkel dive boat in Mission Beach Australia, Kodak, and why corporate and small business longetivity is dying - and chameleons!
@todbot You might want to give the WriteFreely (Fediverse compatiable) software a test drive if you want to selfhost. I'm playing around with it even though I have a big business blog.
https://insight.futurist.info/jimcarroll
WriteFreely is at:
@todbot Ah. That won't work for this....
Still playing with a Writefreely instance.
https://insight.futurist.info/jimcarroll/
I've got it over on an itsy-bitsy server at Hetzner. 1.58 euros for 10 days. I figure it's going to come in at $5.17 for the month.
I could host it under my existing #selfhost #selfhosting Mastodon instance but I got annoyed with trying to get the nginx block working. Sometimes cheap solutions are easy solutions to annoying problems.
Still not sure I'm going to keep it though.
@chockenberry 7 Stages of Grief.
You're moving through at speed. That is good.
@glennf I just want some local search for my little instance. I can keep it growing forever since I offload media to Amazon S3 and that's dirt cheap. I just want to be able to search my timeline - my own and what I get from the Fediverse.
I tried Elasticsearch and it was a dog.
To me, local and global search is one of the biggest drawbacks of this lovely place.
All this talk about search on Mastodon.
I just want to be able to search my posts. I find myself thinking back to something i wrote in early December, and can't find it - my timeline is so long.
Is there any
- private search engine I can set to index my site to let me search?
- any way to export my posts/timeline into some format that i could index into something else? Heck, I'd even dump them into a Pages document if they were nicely formatted
Search is the Achilles heel of this place.
@lolgop I was a blue tick (earned it).
But refused to give him money.
So I put it to my little $ 12-a-month self-hosted single-user Mastodon instance.
I'm happy.
@taste@kinkytaboo.online Any links? Server usage spiked and I took it down after a day.
Also, Alas Babylon as a book.
Daily Inspiration: "If only the paranoid survive, it's also true that it's the chameleons who will thrive!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
Here's a story about innovation and adaptability. To be a chameleon - to change with the circumstances, adapt, evolve, and reinvent.
Back in 2008, Toshiba Australia invited me to open their annual technology conference in Sydney - it was a pretty wonderful engagement! My wife and I decided this would be a fantastic opportunity for a family trip and so so took our 13 and 15-year-old sons along with us on a 3-week adventure.
We eventually made our way up to a wonderful community on the east coast south of the popular tourist spot of Cairns - Mission Beach. And in that small place, I learned a very valuable business lesson.
Be a chameleon.
(-;
Epic!
@KNERD I signed up a few weeks ago and then it fell out of my memory zone. Creating an Ubuntu server now. Kind of nervous about all the warnings about overages, but I haven't given a credit card number. Tks for reminding me. Maybe I'll do an Elasticsearch to link into my existing site.
@jan @mmccue I love it when the developers show up!
Because developers determine the future.
Welcome Flipboard! Here's a celebratory video to get you insired!
@Riedl The thing is, they will enter the arms race, it will be awful, and there will be Peter Thiel and Musk right behind them egging them on.
@atomicpoet @biz Until he actually shows up, engages, and uses it, he's not doing much at all.
And he's not doing much at all.
@ev Well, it sure isn't some Web 3.0 crypto/blockchain hellscape nirvana tech image that Silicon Valley was hyping months ago.
The future is, as they say, distributed, and the future is a protocol, not a product. Understand that, and you'll get it.
But you know that already.
So it would be best if you dive in more, engage, get involved, and help to build it out. Because the other place is dying, is a hate bucket rage machine. Better to move to the 'Acceptance' phase of the 7 Stages of Twitter Grief.
Welcome!
@atomicpoet @biz Pardon me for maybe being dumb, but why would it be hostile. They're not EM. I'd think folks would welcome them because we would perceive *they get it*.
It's actually generally useful at times.
With Microsoft and others moving aggressively fast, the current era of Google-dominated search is over.
The next few months and years are going to be wild.
Nice to meet you.
Given what you do, this might be of interest.
Few pay attention to this stuff which is why IOT is such a dog-breakfast mess.
https://jimcarroll.com/2017/02/the-11-rules-of-iot-architecture/
and
@suryo Simple answer is pretty clear : most large scale open source software has proven to be more reliable and secure than private or closed, so that would be the case withy any open source iOT architecture IMHO
The process of allowing for inbound http, icmp and 9200 connections seems pretty hidden. Any hints? Sample screen shots?
@KNERD Intuitive LOL!
Tks
@jaredwhite I'm just gonna keep sharing this.
Because, well, developers!
@shoq But we can really date ourselves if we were users of VisiCalc.
Been doing heavy experimentation in my play time in moving my Wordpress. Currently on Kinsta.com - happy with them for yeares but don't like the overage charges - I had a page explode and whoah!
So I'm likely doing a Vultr Ubuntu cloud via Runcloud on Litespeed (alternative to nginx), with the new Quic.Cloud service ... which does all the reglular cacheing and CDN, plus HTTP3 - and.... WHOAH!
FAST!
Alternative headline"
"Millions of Delusional Americans Still find Joy in the Hate and Grievence from a Bitter Old Man Who Can Do Nothing More Than Spin Falsehoods in New Hampshire.
Then there are guys like me who just decided to go all in on Mastodon, and create a solo single user instance that fits the brand (futurist.info) ... i suspect that over time, lots of Medium and other folks who are solo will go this route.
Also convinced we'll see lots of corporate instances here over time. Its already happening with several software companies - as they come to realize their customers and developers are talking about them here.
It's 1993. The Web has just been born. People are exploring.
And hats off to @coachtony for recognizing what is happening and being the earliest of pioneers!
@tchambers "The Death of Twitter will Happen Slowly, and Then, All at Once" with a nod to Kevin Kelly.
I think if you just want to find some joy in the world today, such as it is with the news, find some in the fact that Willie Nelson will be doing a few 90th birthday celebration concerts with, well, Snoop Dog.
I imagine there will be some substances involved.
I'm a sober guy but never pass judgement. I just think this is epic and cool.
@mike ElasticSearch - same instance or separate? And obviously all on AWS?
Does it get you much (i.e. search of your timeline?)
@arossp @tchambers @coachtony @d0n
Totally agree with that. If I could search my timeline I had some long post about that last November.
That's all I want to do (search my own timeline back to November). I can keep my timeline going forever with media going off to AWS so I'm still exploring. Currently trying to do it from a different server.
@BruceMirken Here in Canada, small towns don't have big armored trucks.
@RollingStone This is funny in that the idiot over at the bird site place who has done so much work get EVS going (I own one, and it is brilliant car) thinks he is accomplishing some great by bringing Trump back to relevance by giving him his platform back.
It becomes epic if Trump goes onto the swamp-of-hate-bird-site and trashes EVs.
That would just be karma.
Let me just say : it's Saturday night, I've just finished 2 days of skiing, am pretty tired, and I'm just floating through my Mastodon timeline reading things, and reacting, and it's just peaceful and wonderful and insightful and a wonderful way to have some time float by.
So much interesting stuff in here!
@timbray See my point #2 in my "Bad Things" post I wrote in May 2021.
I'm pretty convinced this will be a professional diagnosis just a few years from now. Some new form of connectivity-driven mental illness. We are all watching it happen in real time around us. I lost a close friend to it -he went off the deep end and I marvel at a once brilliant mind that, while still brilliant, is also stark raving mad.
Yesterday:
"**Through late 1967 and early 1968, Syd Barrett became increasingly erratic, partly as a consequence of his heavy use of psychedelic drugs such as LSD**."
Tomorrow:
**"Through late 2020 into 2023 and beyond, millions became increasingly erratic and unstable, partly as a consequence of their excessive consumption, sharing and belief of online conspiracy theories."**
@daveshuken @tchambers @coachtony @d0n Gee. I always thought the beautiful women were really into me. )-;
My Daily Inspiration post goes out to about 14 different social networks. For a time, it went to TikTok as well because my 27 and 29 year old sons told me I was too old to TikTok. But I found the engagement there marginal. All the other locations work well for me. (-;
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration which I will write up around 530 tomorrow morning.
Eastern skiing, innovation and being first to market. There's a story here!
@fractals I think my sons were conceived to that album, so it's kind of an important one. (-;
Daily Inspiration: "Innovation is all about taking risks but it's also about taking on the risk of not taking on risks!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
You have to pick your moments. Get the timing right! Take risks, but carefully judge when you are going to take on those risks.
That's what I've always said about innovation, particularly when it comes to the future and trends.
I try to get my timing right when I take on risk, particularly when it comes to skiing. I have a relatively low-risk tolerance. It's been put to the test this year. You've seen the pictures from European ski resorts - it's a dismal year! Meanwhile, out at Mammoth Mountain in California, they've got too much snow! Here in eastern North America, we've mastered our skill at skiing on ice, such are the conditions.
My ski season has been one of getting the timing right in a way that lines up with my risk tolerance.Lining up the risk of not taking on risk.
@m_scribe @jeff@newsie.social
Similiar reasons here. Good read.
Oh, and you will still get scrollers brain here. But nicer scrollers brain!
@film_girl @timbray @marcbrooker
Great future movie title!
#ivory and #excercise to catch up on the Fediverse. No shortage of interesting stuff to read!
Consider this.
Unless some dramatic shit happens the US and the rest of the world will be in the 2nd week of the 2nd Trump Presidency 2 years from right now.
@CatDragon probably speaks to you being tired but read the latest Atlantic article. I will boost it
@GayDeceiver optimism is dangerous
@holyramenempire read the latest Atlantic article
#selfhosting is the future, says the #selfhosted futurist
Still at it and just refreshed the timeline for the first time. Pleasant way to spend an hour. #cardio and insight
@CatDragon Read the Atlantic article. It and others make the point that he'll win the RNC because no one is willing to take him on. That, and then election fraud which he has in place, wins him the key states.
I’ve just put together my image for tomorrow mornings Daily Inspiration. It’s based on a story from the time Disney had me in for a talk about the elements creativity - which is kind of cool, since they are somewhat creative!
It should be a fun post!
Posted every workday since early August 2016, not missing one day yet!
Can some folks give me a quick hand?
I’m about to move my main website over to a new server that is based on LiteSpeed and quic.cloud … a CDN built by the folks behind the LiteSpeed web server (it’s an alternative to nginx and Apache). It’s fast.
I’ve got a test site happening at :https://jacc.com
It looks good to me, but can you see if pages load correctly for you, any obvious errors (particularly with page loads/architecture) since I’m maxing out on some css and javascript minification.
Note - some links won’t work, i.e. the Big Future and 23 Trends for 2023 on the main page since those are domain links and that hasn’t been finished yet.
Here’s an image of a kitten since that seems to appeal to the sensibilities around confederation of networks.
@lurkingstranger@mindly.social Style sheet error probably not loading in time. Will fix!
@fringe Thank you! Will investigate. I think that behavior is somethi the quic.cloud architects .. trading the brief pause before load.
The search behavior has happened before, i have to chase that.
@lurkingstranger@mindly.social Turns out that problem is there on my exsiting site and I’ve never noticed!
@jerry Is that CDN? Amazon S3/Cloudfront should be a better deal should it not?
@ottergoose@vmst.io I've been feeding ADSBExchange among others; what's the benefit to Fi? Also, I'm on Pi's ... is there an easy tarball for install or something?
This is why I went selfhosting when I started
Daily Inspiration: "Stop trying to solve your problems. Solve their problems!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
Don't chase solutions. Solve problems. But solve the right problems - go upside down!
Don't say it can be done
Say that you'll find a way to get it done
Don't solve your problems
Solve customer's problems
Don't do innovation that goes in fits and start
Continuously innovate
Don't establish 'Innovation teams' that come and go
Enshrine innovation in job descriptions so that it is always present
Don't cling to the past
Align to the future
Don't fight the future
Embrace the future
Don't chase the reality you want
Create the reality you can pursue
Don't look inside for ideas
Look outside for ideas
Never think the project is done
Know the project is never finished
Flip things around and magic happens!
Original post:https://jimcarroll.com/2023/01/stop-trying-to-solve-your-problems-solve-their-problems/
@bertgold@med-mastodon.com I think I have a quote for everything.
@bertgold@med-mastodon.com Yup. Everything. 😀
@bplein @jerry I can't really do a comparison since I've got a lot of backup on AWS, but I know my Cloudfront transfer fee is free. They have a free tier, so I just get hit a bit for storage.
2nd attempt to migrate my main website, jimcarroll.com, to a new server.
I'm going to a Vultr Ubuntu 22.04 managed by Runcloud.io, based on Litespeed, with Quic.Cloud for CDN and cacheeing.
I've tested it extensively - there are a lot of moving parts - DNS, subdomains, .htaccess redirects, and a lot more.
Pray for me.
White-knuckle time!
I am absolutely stunned that it seems to be going well so far!
@paul We can all end up with weird neighbors at times. For a while, one of my speakers bureaus had me hanging with these folks.
And then, for a time, because of the alphabet, I was right next to Tucker Carlson.
Me, after successfully migrating my main Web site today with few errors, no major tech issues, and a pretty instant cutover.
It involved rerouting to new nameservers, reconfiguring to a new CDN via quic.cloud, setting up new css and js minification, rewriting .htaccess 301 redirects from an Nginx to Apache-style (using Litespeed) and lots more. I tested the setup during off hours for a few weeks to make sure I understood the flow.
I'm pretty happy. It's fast!
(I tried to get my wife to give me some cheers, but she is generally non-cooperative with praise, so I'm posting here!)
I have my own server (Ubuntu 22.04, 2gb memory) and have never had throttling issues. I've got a few relays. All of my media is offloaded to Amazon S3/Cloudfront. Curious that you get throttled since I come at it from different devices/platforms all the time!
@shelby@fauxzen.com @funkypenguin @stammy Yikes. While I like the Docker concept I find that getting the networking and all associated configs going correctly for bits of software to be yecch.
I’ve got my image ready for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
This is number 1,648 in the series.
