@liztai @justincox "there's lots of maintenance work involved & your local feed will be rather empty."
Not true!
I have my own instance.
The admin is minuscule once I got it going.
My timeline is massively full. I started out following 100 people, engaged, and it grew from there. I also have several relays that pad it out.
Here's a little trip down the scroll.
@liztai @justincox We are probably only a matter of months away from being in a situation where for $8.99 a month or so you'll be able to create your own little place here with your own name etc.
Lots of folks at #mastodonsocial mastodon.social wondering what to do in light of yesterday's apparent #DoS attack
When I joined here, I decided I wanted to be in charge of my presence. I've had my own instance for 2 1/2 months under my own 'vanity plate.'
No complaints, no issues, no heavy lifting.
Here's my story.
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
@justincox @liztai I don't think so. That came later. Essentially, though, some sites allow you to relay which helps to bring more content into your timeline.
But my strategy was simple.
1. Follow 100 random people
2. Engage
3. Post helpful stuff - don't promote
4. Follow 100 more
And here I am. I spent an hour on my treadmill yesterday reading Mastodon, never got through my timeline and never got bored.
@ev Try out https://alpha.trunks.social
The thing is, the developers have arrived here, and the potential has turned on imagination machines worldwide.
Where the developers go, magic happens. The list of apps and interfaces is exploding; github is becoming a server farm for new ideas to layer on top of Mastodon; the open, distributed nature of it means that we are going to witness an explosion of ideas, innovation, and initiative.
It's 1993, the Web has just been invented, and the world is about to explode into hyper-connectivity
And it's 2023, 30 years later, and you're on Mastodon.
Welcome.
@travelingflwr @fringe https://elest.io will also let you spin up a #selfhost #Selfhosting in a mater of moments for a small fee. No real tech expertise required if you know how to link a domain name. Good for those who want to explore selfhosting without doing selfhosting ... explore before you leap. It helps you see 'beneath the hood'.
Of course he would and most people would.
I’ve said from day 1 of my arrival here that most people will want their own on their own domain or similar name….
Daily Inspiration: "Some people conform. Innovative people rebel!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
--
The entire focus of the post changed from the image I posted last night!
--
Some people. Innovative people.
Some people plan for tomorrow. Innovative people are already involved with it today!
Some people wait for tomorrow to happen. Innovators make it happen.
Some people have a very narrow view of the world and never achieve too much. Innovators have wide-open minds and change the world in new and continuous ways.
Some people see a trend and see a threat. Innovators see the same trend and see an opportunity.
Some people tend to focus on past failures with sadness or disgust. Innovators look at the same failures and analyze them to figure out what to do better next time.
I never like conformity. It was boring.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/some-people-conform-innovative-people-rebel/
Hi. I'm Jim.
"1: Introduce yourself & tell us a fun fact about your WIP."
I'm known as a 'futurist' - essentially, I get on stage for corporations, organizations & associations, & talk about how their future is changing, & what they need to do about it.
I wrote 34 books about the Internet in the 90s and sold a million books; several more since then.
My current WIP? Every morning I pump out my Daily Inspiration - it goes out about 6am; it comes in at about 1,000 to 2,000 words. It tends to focus on issues of creativity, innovation, future trends, motivational stuff. It's my obsession - it started out when I got sober in August 2016, and I have not missed one single workday since then. Not one. I live to write it. Me, the morning, coffee and writing. It defines me, brings me joy, and lots of folks seem to like it since it goes out to 14 locations!
And i have my own Mastodon instance, and bumped it to 1,000 characters since I can!
@Teri_Kanefield This is never going to end.
We will be in the year 2050, and they will still be abusing the process.
There is no end in sight. It is going to go on forever. The system is just failing.
It will just go on.
Over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over again.
Forever.
I'm about to post the Connected Energy trend to my BIG future series.
To go with it, I did a quick edit of a video from an event I spoke at a few months back.
So you know that when I'm not hacking around on Linux and servers and Mastodon and stuff, I'm out earning a living talking to large groups of hungover people in big conference halls.
The BIG Future: Trend #2 **Connected Energy**
Essentially, we are building a new energy grid, launching new industries, changing entire mobility platforms (automotive and trucking), and setting a path to a cleaner energy future.
Much of this is currently happening in isolation, but over the decade to come, a lot of connectivity of these disparate platforms and trends is going to occur.
It’s already underway as smart innovators build out a fascinating new future.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/the-big-future-connected-energy/
----
I'm doing this new series, simply because I enjoy digging into trends. I've covered this one on stage a LOT, and it's a bigger trend than most people think. Probably one of the biggest opportunities in the next decade!
The series will unfold in the months to come at https://bigfuture.jimcarroll.com
This comes in the wake of my recently completed series, 23 Trends for 2023 -> https://2023.jimcarroll.com
I saw the hashtag, had no idea what it was about but since I exist out here all by my solo self, I thought it would be fun to participate.
Next week.
#3 Brain science.
Our BIG future.
This is what you need to do with Medium.
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration for early tomorrow morning.
Bonus points for the eagle eye among you.
Daily Inspiration: "What was once centralized is being disbanded. The future is connected - and distributed!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
(Astute individuals will notice the Fediverse logo in the image!)
The future of the energy system is essentially moving from a system that is centralized to one that is distributed - and that's a massive change full of opportunity.
But it's not happening just with energy but with other industries and technologies - the impact of 3d printing, for example, means that we might see the emergence of a more distributed manufacturing model.
It's also happening in the world of social media.
As one well-known person stated, the future is moving from 'products' (Facebook, Instagram, etc) to protocols (ActivityPub.)
This is a BIG change.
Re your recent newsletter.
Go on, admit it. You probably watched The Partridge Family and The Brady Bunch too!😀
Elon Musk is really an imbecile, an idiot disguised in the persona of faux-brilliance.
This is not about cutting off an API.
This is about destroying any remaining shred of trust with the developer community. With trust gone, there is only a burning pile of, well, no developers.
He wanted to build an 'everything app.' The idea now is just LOL. What developer would dare to commit any time and effort to someone who has destroyed TRUST.
TRUST is everything. When its gone, it doesn't come back.
The dude should come to Canada. He would freak out. Pot shops everywhere.
(Unbelievably, I share space next to this non-entity vacant hate monger at several of my speaker bureau agent sites due to last name adjacency)
(also, I don't partake, because, sobriety)
@Entropic0blivion Oh look! A troll! Bye!
LOL.
@Nightyear I've got a quote in my Daily Inspiration for everything.
Here's the word!
(My wife is first generation German Canadian. I learned the word early in our marriage)
@Bam It's my first! 2 months in, and I banned someone!
@blooming_rose@mastodon.au I don't credit him with being a part of some elaborate brilliant scheme.
I think he has just fallen to the illness of hubris. I wrote a long post about it here, and identified all the traits of what happens with CEO hubris, by studying 40 years of research about these folks.
He's at the point - as has happened to many successful people before - of falling into believing all the articles and praise written about him, so he now thinks he's omnipotent. But he's not. He just doesn't know it yet.'
Read the bullets. He ticks every single one.
(ps. I own a Tesla. Brilliant car. Great company. Idiot CEO. I was a fan. Now, I've gone through the 7 stages of mourning)
@Bam I can't reach the site defcon.social, but is it a place of similar looney bins? I might block the instance.
Read this:
@dompates "clove cigarettes"
?
Also, the research the article was based on was mostly about CEOs who eventually failed.
I knew Jim Balsille. Pretty much the same.
@vruz@mastodon.social @NickSchwanck It was my first ever here. Feel like my innocence is gone.
The site he is from doesn't seem to exist, or fails...defcon.social
@paul @trekistheway@mstdn.social Would you go back? Or has trust been broken irrevocably?
@trekistheway@mstdn.social Decentralization / the Fediverse was the focus of my Daily Inspiration just this morning --
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration story for tomorrow morning.
This one is about what happens when a company denies that its business model or products are dying. (-;
Interesting stress test. I guess I am about to discover what happens when a post goes somewhat viral on Mastodon I have one happening now, hundreds of likes.
My little 2gb Ubuntu #selfhosted #selfhosting server seems to be responding well, but is a bit ... busy.
It's a little stressed but seems to be doing ok.
@punchdrunktux I'm following @paul ... it's interesting to watch his thoughts on this unfold and will continue to be.
@atomicpoet We who had 300 baud modems like this post.
@thinking_images I do own a Tesla Model 3 and have 'FSD.' It is an extremely sophisticated piece of software and a marvel of engineering. It's a long ways away from being full 'self-driving' though. I do give a lot of credit to all the engineers at Tesla who have done a remarkable feat of technology. But, it's sad that they now have to recognize they actually work for a dick.
@ArenaCops Um, as a futurist, I suggest this might be a bestseller in 2024
Quite the read:
"My generation will tell their kids "Hey, be carefull of generated content" much like our own parents told us "Don't believe everything you read on the internet", before probably falling pray to it ourselves."
@darren@tara.social
3 screenshots.
One of the folks who represent me.
They also represent this guy.
My tweets would appear at the bottom of my page there. .... in real time. This happens elsewhere.
So I've always had to be careful what I posted on the bird, since many of my corporate clients are on the bird. I've always been cautious.
They aren't here yet. (-
So yes, I'm a bit liberated!
(Also, it would appear the sites API link is now broken...)
@darren@tara.social
Also, LOL, I just watched the Margin Call clip on your blog. Great movie. Great point you make there!
It is oversold.
I make that point in this long blog post.
And check the Youtube video where I'm wandering about the streets of New Orleans, essentially saying what you said: "Roads are an enormous variable"
Great minds and all that!
Hi Deb,
"Blue in a red state". Keep up the good fight. (I'm Canadian)
An API is essentially a map of how software can talk to another system.... so, say I've got a computer full of data and want to make that accessible to others. I'd create and publish an API - application programming interface' - which would allow someone to write software to talk to my system. I would do that because it would help to grow my system ... others write software to get people onto my site, it helps me to grow my site.
It's also about data. i.e. WeatherUnderground has a lot of data; it has an API that lets people access the weather data to show on their site. It extends the reach of WeatherUnderground; it helps people add real time and other weather to their site.
So there were APIs that let companies write iPhone apps to access Twitter. He shut them down. He's now shutting down other ones unless you pony up. It's his right to do so, but its kind of a dumb move.
Here's a real time view of my Tesla at this exact second, at my chalet.
It's a system called TeslaFi which gieves me massive detail into my car, energy efficiency, driving, charging...just a wonderful bit of data.
TeslaFi writes to the published Tesla API.
It now makes me wonder if he might pull that API.
There are other APIs for the Tesla Powerwall business. Same thing.
Trust is precious. Trust squandered, well, dumb!
@wpwatercooler I've got the ActivityPub plugin on my blog, and so it's foldable at @JimCarroll@jimcarroll.com
It's kind of cool that it just .... works....
Hundreds of boost and favourites happening and new followers.
My little server still seems to be surviving.
@splott Well, that's sort of the $44 billion question. We're mystified.
My take on it was here. Basically, I think the type of arrogance that causes a lot of CEOs to go wrong. All the praise got to his head. He thinks he's omnipotent.
@mjf_pro @blooming_rose@mastodon.au
I think you mean this. I put this together last November.
@Deus@mastindia.co
The one I am using is called Glances. Just runs in terminal. But this is a server monitoring tool.
My web traffic tool (like your screen shot) of choice is Opentracker.
I can't watch him. I become viscerally ill. Not gonna two-sidism via him.He's too many vile things to give him a chance.
Read this post.
Shutting down the API isn't just about software. It also kills a lot of important critical infrastructure stuff.
Government, agencies, companies came to rely on the API to build digital infrastructure.
They will now come to realize that infrastructure is just going to go *poof*
BTW, follow @blaine
VERY early Twitter engineer who does a wonderful job explaining what happens as things like the API are suddenly shut off, and the engineering systems he helped build begin to .... die.
@AppalachianCrochet@home.social
That's a heck of interesting point!
Also, how many of them will know that they've actually been cut off? Probably not many. Not until things go wrong.
You might notice my Mastodon instance name, futurist.info
It's just me here. I decided early on I wanted my own 'identity' ; my own instance. Just like I got my own email address back in the 90's (under jimcarroll.com)
I think over time :
- you might find your current Mastodon home doesn't fit your future - it might become like a HotMail or AOL email address
- you might want to know how Mastodon actually works by having your own setup
- in the months to come, we will see a LOT of paid self-hosting options that might let you set up your own identity for a small fee.
With all that in mind, here's the story of how I did it.
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
See! I'm a futurist!
Me at 3AM today wondering if my little Futurist.info Mastodon instance would survive the night with the massive boosting of my post from yesterday
It did!
(But I am getting a 'rate limited' error which someone reported on just a few days ago on another selfhost!
Good morning! Welcome to all my new followers!
Daily Inspiration: "Denial of your reality is not going to lead you to a better outcome!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Read this:
--
"RIM continues to have strong technology, unique service capabilities and a large installed base of customers, and we are more determined than ever to capitalize on our strengths to overcome the recent execution challenges surrounding product launches and the resulting financial performance." Mike Lazaridis and Jim Balsllie, co-CEOs of Research in Motion, December 16, 2011
--
Oops!
The Blackberry disappeared from relevance shortly after. As I've long said, denial is a powerful drug! Particularly when a senior leadership team is at the heart of the denial!
Yet it still happens all the time.
Read the full post:
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/denial-of-your-reality-is-not-going-to-lead-you-to-a-better-outcome/
What a glorious day!
Had a massive amount of boosting of a post from yesterday (about the idiot and the bird site) that is still going around …. and my little server keeps chugging along fine.
I had a brief ’throttle’ message at one moment though.
Sidekiq and Pghero look fine.
I remember seeing in the last few days who had a throttle message on their site and how they fixed it. Anyone?
@KNERD "The thing about tomorrow is that it will happen."
Still too many projects to fully immerse in Oracle. How would a server there compare to my little 2GB machine ... struggling to see what is the specs of the fastest big free system there.
Also, the interesting thing is their sales team keeps reaching out to me LOL!
@steezy@vmst.io
@asher@toad.social
Minimal, but that is because all media goes to Amazon S3, never touches my server.
@darren@tara.social @LisaTapp@tara.social
I'm an eastern skier. Had an epic day yesterday, but won't venture out tomorrow. It's not the cold, it's the visibility and wind. Live shot of my little hill.
Mt. Washington by you is supposed to hit -93F tonight!
If you've never lived or been near a snow squall area of the world, it's a really unique weather event.
3 images. Out my front window at my chalet right now. A traffic camera literally 15 miles by a straight line south of here. And I'm in the green radar section - it's a narrow band.
The first photo doesn't do it justice as I can barely see across the street
Epic!
@paul It was a fantastic early morning walk today!
Did you know you can link your Wordpress blog directly to the Fediverse and Mastodon?
1. Install the ActivityPub plugin
2. Configure it - give yourself a username - in my case, jcarroll@jimcarroll.com
3. Your blog is now on the Fediverse, and anyone who follows the account will see any new post you do.
So I just posted this - and since I follow from my other account - it just appears as a post in the stream.
4. Make people aware!
So if you want any new blog posts I do (disruption, creativity, transformation etc) follow @JimCarroll@jimcarroll.com
@atomicpoet told me about this.
Everyone presumed a public utility, because for years, it supported the same. Folks trusted that it would support the API.
I guess they were wrong.
And so a lot of people will question their assumption going forward.
GOP: Biden is clearly creating too many jobs.
(P.s. This is one of my sons a few years back, meeting some guy on a golf course)
@just_alex@universeodon.com At a golf course in Phoenix, when he was VP. I was there too. We had to move to a different starting hole. 7 golf carts of Secret Service all around us. It was pretty exciting. He had a wonderful personality - very gracious and apologetic for us having to move.
@mildpeach @JimCarroll@jimcarroll.com @atomicpoet @mmeadway One word. WordFence. No issues at the Wordpress level once installed.
@mildpeach @mmeadway @JimCarroll@jimcarroll.com @atomicpoet Not quite sure about the security concern you might cite. It's a Wordpress plugin. It shares a link via ActivityPub out to those who follow it using the same protocol. It's not doing much more than that. RSS does pretty much the same type of thing.
Well, folks are weighing in.
There's a long thread with it
@mildpeach @mmeadway @JimCarroll@jimcarroll.com @atomicpoet If you pay attention security it can be mitigated to a reasonable extent, never eliminated. Wordfence (as with many other tools) is not hot air. If it (and other tools) then the folks over at infosec.exchange who have built entire careers and industries around mitigating issues would be shocked to learn that you suggest all their efforts are in vein.
Go for a walk. Try not be to cranky. It's a beautiful day.
Nice day at the summit!
Also, Netflix is done, since Twitter is the new Netflix.
People are streaming entire Hollywood movies online.
Epic!
We live in a time of magic. There is so much potential with technology, science, innovation ideas.
In 2001, the editor of The Globe & Mail killed my weekly technology column. He said that there was no more technology yet to come. LOL!
We're at an equivalent point right now. People are focused on layoffs, the tech downturn, the shift to distributed networks, the drama with Twitter
Techno-skepticism reins
That's why Trend #1 of my 23 Trends for 2023 which I started in December focused on "Techno-Skepticism"
If history teaches us anything, it is that there are two types of people
- those who recognize accelerated skepticism as a result of the natural ebb and flow of the technology industry
- and those who fall prey to their disbelief and stop all innovation, creative thinking, and investment
History teaches us that success comes to those in the former camp.
Which person are you?
https://jimcarroll.com/2022/12/23-trends-for-2023-trend-1-techno-skepticism-and-retiming-the-future/
@briankrebs This is fantastic! What a career hit, and what a wonderful project! Congratulations!
@joshsusser@neurodifferent.me @f00fc7c8 He wants to be WeChat; he has said that publicly. To do it on his own would be a massive lift. But, as someone suggested elsewhere, there might be a number of right-wing brogrammers who would chomp at the bit to help him.
This is a very compelling video about WeChat here. Anyone who wants to understand what he wants to do with an 'everything app' is in the video on this page.
--
Personally, I hope he and Twitter implode.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/04/technology/wechat-china-united-states.html
@aswath @JimCarroll@jimcarroll.com @atomicpoet I don't allow comments on my blog; I think that many folks disabled comments within Wordpress due to the arrival of the rage-bait-troll-hate machine. I don't see anywhere within the plugin that it supports comments back and forth, I doubt it does,
It's only a one way thing as far as I can see. Just for people to follow your posts. It's kind of moot, since I put a link/commetnary to most of my blog posts here.
But it might be of interest to some folks.
@dragonfrog @JimCarroll@jimcarroll.com @atomicpoet Since I don't allow comments on my blog post, no.
I am not sure if it would if I allowed comments.
I think many people abandoned Wordpress commenting years ago since it was so abused.
Pro tip: do a server snapshot before you implement risky stuff.
Whew!
That was scary!
@danwentzel@mastodon.lol @atomicpoet The level of engagement here is simply staggering.
Also, I'm a legacy blue check, but that ship sailed for me a long time ago.
@gruber When are you doing gruber@gruber.social?
@JMMaok There's an entire conference industry - professionals who are part of MPI (Meeting Professional International) https://mpiweb.org -- Meeting magazines and sites (https://meetings.net), certifications i.e. https://www.eventscouncil.org/CMP/About-CMP
It's a massive industry, and they are heavily invested in Twitter for promotion and other activities
Any chance anyone gets, volunteer to explain to them, get on local agendas, write for them, etc.
@MeidasTouch We are going to wake up in 2035 and all this will still be going on and nothing will ever happen .... it just goes on forever....
@colinfry666 @JMMaok I know that, but they, like everyone else, are wondering what all the noise about Mastodon is as the other place goes through convulsions, so it doesn't hurt to provide them guidance.
My image for tomorrow mornings Daily Inspiration.
Once I write it, I'll have link here.
It's based on a cool little study about creativity I wandered across in my research!
Daily Inspiration: "If we've learned anything (when it comes to encouraging creativity) it's that we rarely do!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
Every once in a while, for some reason or other, a page on my Web site takes off and gets shared around a lot. Sometimes, a BIG lot!
At the end of last year, my list of '10 Great Words for 2022' went to the #1 spot for anyone searching for the phrase 'define 2022" or similar ideas I found that I was suddenly getting hundreds of hits, and sometimes, thousands of hits per hour on the page on my site.
I noticed the same thing happening last week with a post I wrote about curiosity. What Every Organization Needs: A Senior VP of Curiosity. Curious again curiosity, I decided that it would be a good time to revisit the topic once again.
@bertgold@med-mastodon.com Huh?
"Trust, once squandered, never comes back easily"
Who is going to trust him at this point?
Not this fellow - read his post. I suspect most developers will react the same way.
https://elk.zone/indieweb.social/@brentsimmons/109815316509852646
@shoq @danb The thing is, society broke, and it's way to hard to put it back together again. When we were living in the idealism of 80s connectivity I guess we didn't really see how bad it would get. I remember watching a wild flame war on BIX in '90 with the Iraq War and the online flame was really really bad -- wild online behavior.
But I never realized how bad it would get.
@WecanbeGyros @shoq @danb Clarified my post...
@WecanbeGyros @shoq @danb No worries. My post wasn't clear. It wasn't about the war being bad (we knew that). It was that online behavior got out of hand!
One of my favourite newsletters is Numlock News from a fellow named Walt Hickey.
Every day, there's just wonderfully diverse random stuff like this.
It's over at https://www.numlock.com
This is not a paid promotion or anything. I just find it a great little newsletter.
Also, on the topic of long song intros and collapsing attention spans, I still think **IN A GADDA DA VIDA **is an epically long song. If you didn't partake in what music was in the 60s & 70s, you missed out!
@citizen_nowhere For Amazon SES you should discover Sendy.
It's hosted on one of my cloud Ubuntu boxes, and saw my email cost (Mailchimp) go from $25 to about $0.05
It's a great program, reliable as heck.
(My affiliate link is **https://sendy.co/?ref=71Fo0)**
@MeidasTouch "It's 2053. Donald has long gone to the ether, but his kin continue to issue nonstop lawsuits."
It's all meaningless. And so frustrating. Nothing ever happens.
You know he won't care, right?
People laugh, but we actually used those things.
I've got my image together for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow.
The non-stop media narrative about a potential recession / downturn needs to be ignored.
History tells us so.
My new favourite post.
Daily Inspiration: "Ignore consensus!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
The recession-that-isn't-a-recession has been coming at us for a long time - if you listened to the headlines, you would have been frozen in fear since 2017 if not earlier!
What happens when people are convinced that gloom is just around the corner? They max out their gloominess!
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-ignore-consensus/
If there weren't clouds, there would be a bit of a sunrise!
Rewarded 20 minutes in!
Even if that is the case, why would any developer want to devote any time whatsoever to investing time in that? Trust matters.
@Meyerweb That's a really interesting read... and I've never thought of it that way... but I'm thinking I would agree.
I've been out speaking at events for 30 years; I'm booked and represented by most of the world's top speakers bureaus.
And I can tell you the association market has been extremely volatile. Most of my work is now CEO or CxO corporate offsites, where they need to think / strategize around some big trend or disruptive issue. User group events (think SAP, Microsoft etc) are also extremely volatile - there is a LOT of indecision out there (some of that is from the (self-imposed) tech wreckage).
It's become an extremely weird industry.
Here's my advice, based on what I did when I arrived last year.
@shelby@fauxzen.com 1. Your own server (Linux etc)
2. Sendy (https://sendy.co)
3. Amazon SES
Dirt cheap simple. Nice interface that works very well. I took my $24.95 Mailchimp down to about 5 cents.
@MissingThePt Or you build your own #selfhost #selfhosting like I did , just for yourself. ("how I did it" is pinned to my profile). You can carry your beliefs and values into it - and - bonus - you then get to argue with yourself.
@shelby@fauxzen.com Might be possible. https://sendy.co/forum/discussion/16376/sendy-postmark-broadcast-streams-smtp
@pettyruxpin True story. I was at a gate at Orlando MCO once, and all these kids and adults were swarming some guy. I figured he was kind of important. I board my flight and he's next to me.
I tell him I have no idea who he is (I didn't) but said I figured I should get a selfie with him since he seemed important.
I sent it to my kids asking who he was.
They still laugh at me.
@RoboPack@mastodon.social @atomicpoet I made that decision process easy by having my own instance, just for me. I can talk to myself if I like and since I follow a ton of people, I have a full timeline too.
@pettyruxpin He was nice. I think he also found it amusing I didn't know who he was.
On the other hand, he didn't know who I was either. (-;
My post on connected energy
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/the-big-future-connected-energy/
Tech companies hurting so bad!
I often wonder what the world would be like if he and John Lennon were alive today.
54 minutes so far into my treadmill bit with Mastodon. Live the diversity of thinking.
The civility is the bonus.
Two potential images for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
It's about how climate scientists, medical researchers, doctors and others need to keep big goals in mind.
A subtle difference in the text.
Poll follows. Version 1 or 2?
So which image do I use?
My AirPods are in rough shape, and I need to negotiate with the Chief Budgetary Officer (aka wife) for a new set.
My cardio is pretty epic for my age. Resting heart rate of 54!
I need golf-Twitter and weather-Twitter. Ya, pros, tours, hackers, etc
Smart people reacting to the imminent arrival of AI everywhere....
@GandalfDDI @SwiftOnSecurity This is fantastic!
2023: Microsoft brings AI to Bing!
Also 2023: Microsoft still offers dialup!
DiscourseLib for Apple Developers, direct interaction with a Mastodon timeline.
"Developers, developers, developers, developers" - Ballmer.
I mentioned last week I moved my web server to a new setup.
Whoah, am I happy. GTmetrix score based on Lighthouse is unreal.
Setup:
- Ubuntu 22.04 Vultr 2GB with Lightspeed and Memcached
- everything - css, js, images, etc - is all minified and combined - a very aggressive strategy with the Litespeed WordPress plugin
- Quic.cloud handles CDN, image compression and does some magic with the minification etc
I was previously running on a large scale specialized Wordpress host. Now doing it at 1/2 the cost, with far faster response.
Pretty cool stuff to explore!
Daily Inspiration: "Recommit. Rethink Reinforce! Don't let the detractors bring you down!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
(i went with version 2!)
It's pretty easy to become dispirited.
If you are a medical doctor, you've gone from managing the triage situation of dealing with dying Covid patients to people accusing you of being part of some grand global plot.
If you are a climate scientist, you live every day with the horror of
knowing that we are running up an inviolable metric, and yet are attacked by people for making up facts and pursuing an 'agenda.'
If you are a teacher, you pursued your career because of your love of knowledge, but you find yourself under attack for the simple process of providing books to students to engage and expand their minds.
How do you battle this? Chase your beliefs. Commit to your cause. Double down on your personal or professional oath.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-recommit-rethink-reinforce-dont-let-the-detractors-bring-you-down/
LOl. Fun timeline today.
I'm working on this trend piece today for my BIG Future series. I've got about 2,000 articles on my desk from my research service that I'm plowing through.
The pace of science in this field is staggering. "What we did for heart health in the 20th century, we can do for brain health in the 21st"
This is the same depth of research I do for my keynote clients.
You can't just make shit up in my job. You need to back your trends insight with facts, data, research, solid stuff. The second image contains an example of what I'm reading.
It's fascinating to see that the idiots in class from Grade 3 are now the idiots in Congress.
Eat pomegranates!
@tshirtman Hi Gabriel,
I use a paid service, Dow Jones Factiva. It's been my go-to research service for more than two decades; it's a pretty expensive thing.
The beauty of it is that it is a structured search - for example, one search was for :
hl=(neurological or brain science) and hl=(acceleration or research or study or report) restricted to articles from 1/1/2022 to today
So that hits articles where neurological or brain science are in the headline
and the headline (HL) also contains one of those other words.
https://www.dowjones.com/professional/factiva/
It's expensive, but it lets me get to what I need FAST so I can spend less time searching for it and more time reading it.
@tshirtman I fixed the link
https://www.dowjones.com/professional/factiva/
and thanks for the reference!
@KNERD Imagine being so angry in life that one has to set out to degrade a nice photo like that with some sort of angry comeback.
Have a nice day.
@shoq You should see what I need to file with respect to my work throughout the US as a Canadian citizen - tax and immigration-wise. When I was approved for my 0-1 visa at one point, the application was literally 10 inches thick with paper.
Every country has hoops and regulations. It's the way the world works.
No need to get emotional about the simple reality of a bureaucratic world.
So I had my 2nd block.
I posted a nice picture of my son on a golf course with Joe Biden.
Some follower came back with some idiotic Youtube thing about Biden that just seemed .... weird.
Bye!
@bsdbandit I don't know what's in your coffee, but I want some.
@rasterweb Actually, you might be wrong about that.
A comedian! In Congress!
@drewharwell It's pretty certain that Wapo has a Mastodon server running in test mode somewhere while they figure out their launch plans....
Bookmark this, you'll remember my point in the future.
So Roger Waters apparently spoke at the UN.
I had a quote about that in 2021. Because, well, I'm a futurist.Here's the image from November 2021.
Let's all remember that while they orgazamatize with whatever it is they are doing with some hearing about a laptop, let's remember that Hunter Biden is an alcoholic and addict. He is in recovery, working hard every day, one day at a time, to rebuild his life and his love.
No one should seek to tear him down for who he was; we should celebrate his success so far, as we should for everyone who has suffered the horrors of addiction.
We should also remember his dad is a dad. Love hurts, but unconditional love is unconditional. Listen to this call when a dad called his son and left him a message of hope, hurt, despair and love.
Depravity is defined by people who reach into the gutter to tear down those who never deserved to be torn down. What a sickening bunch.
I wrote about this in my Daily Inspiration last October. Today, we have to witness the depravity again.
*“A reminder about fear: At some moment in time, you will transition from regret for what you have not achieved, to pride for what you have actually accomplished!”* – Futurist Jim Carroll
For an addict and an alcoholic, this is defined this way: "At some moment in time, you will transition from the shame of who you were, into pride for whom you have become."
That's Hunter Biden's story.
@atomicpoet @analytodon I'm giving it a whirl.
Since I'm the only one of my #selfhost #selfhosting instance, I don't have any sort of evil analytics agenda.
At least that I don't know about. I don't think I have an evil twin inside me that I don't know about.
I can see the number of followers I have. I'm interested in seeing the engagement. I already know it is WAY higher than over there. But actual stats might be interesting.
Besides, I preach innovation on the stage ... so I have to .... innovate.
Nonsense or not, it is what it is. I don't imagine that the next time I cross the border that I tell the CBP officer that his form is nonsense that it will go well. Same too for tax folks.
I don't imagine that telling the US Citizen and Immigration Services department to abandon their long and complex process because it is nonsense would dissuade them. Nor would I suspect telling the IRS that what they do is nonsense would cause them to do the same.
Same too for Canada and about 193 other countries.
@atomicpoet @analytodon I'm sure I'll post something about what I learn.
As I finalize my post on the acceleration of brain science, I wonder how wonderful our world could be if all these 'genius tech bros' could turn their attention away from stupid stuff like Web 3.0 and crypto, and do something to save our world.
From the intro.
"Just under 10 years ago from this post, I lost a very dear friend to the tragedy that is Alzheimer's Disease.
I am defined by the hope that we might see this, and other brain conditions, vanquished in the years to come as the result of the acceleration of the science of the brain and neurological care. That's the focus of this trend - we are busy trying to unlock the mysteries of the brain, the methodologies of the nervous system, and the science of mental care."
Out for a walk. Post in <2 hrs.
Um, did Fox get hacked?
Lead story. AOC slams GOP. LOL.
I just published the next trend in series: "The BIG Future: Brain Science and the Acceleration of Neurological Care"
From gummy bears and CBD, to neurological brain implants and human-to-brain interconnect technologies, the field of brain science is happening fast.
Neuroscience – or brain science, for lack of a better term – is at an inflection point, where advances in technology & science are fertile ground for innovation. We might see significant breakthroughs in how we better understand disease, develop treatments and manage risk.
As I would often point out on stage:
*“One of the most significant challenges of our time has to do with seniors care – but there is a chance that what we did with heart health in the 20th century, we can repeat with brain health in the 21st century.”*
Oh, and on the science of brain science - here's a story about the time I was with a ton of major food companies, and they all perked up when I talked about gummy bears.
Because they know with brain science, they will be in the business soon.
@WecanbeGyros Thank you for that. I'm going to work that into the end of the post. I assume they would be ok with that.
@WecanbeGyros Thank you. You're now in the post. I'm loving Mastodon.
@atomicpoet Why subscribe to them evil intent?
It's exactly what we've been predicting. A cloud based instance that someone can spin up in an instant. It's fantastic. There will be more of this to come.
@atomicpoet "No one was ever fired for buying IBM"
@mastodonmigration @davidaugust I wrote a Substack on how I created my own Mastodon server - just for me - for about $12 a month. No issues since November. I'm happy here.
It's pinned to my profile, and here:
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
All of Mastodon right now.
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
Obviously, it will be around the trend piece I posted earlier today about Brain Science.
(Backstory for new folks - each workday since August 2016 I've done a Daily Inspiration blog post. I share the image the night before here on Mastodon before I write the post. The entire archive is at https://inspiration.jimcarroll.com )
@cliffwade@androiddev.social @GayDeceiver (Busy thanking myself)
"Jim, you've done an awesome job!"
@flargh Thurrott's a dick.
I came over here, and my timeline is rich. I followed 100 random people, then some more, then some more. My timeline is full, diverse, fascinatig.
Key thing - I engaged.
And now I can't stop!
He should have done this!
@lopatto@mastodon.xyz
I sent my first tweet in months with a link to 'how i created my own Mastodon server' Substack!
(Haven't shut my account down. Still need to follow some folks.)
@andrewfeeney @atomicpoet Also, COBOL.
More than 50% of major global financial systems runs on .... COBOL.
@Diggler67 See point #2
She's gone.
https://badthings.jimcarroll.com
I've personally lost a few friends, deep over the edge into the madness.
@atomicpoet I kept my integrity during my ride! (Cover is from 1995)
@taylorlorenz But you will probably go crawl right back.
@atomicpoet Fun fact. The writer did the story first. He visited me at home. I forgot he was coming. My 2 year old's toys were all over the home office floor. He wrote that into the story. The photog came a week later, and was upset because we cleaned up the office. We had to mess it up with toys to stage the inside shots.
@Fenrir@defcon.social @tprophet Um, kids get shot in schools there.
In Canada, they don't.
That seems like a good reason.
LOL.
Tweetdeck is going well.
@TexasObserver Do this!
@dnnydnl I've got a 2GB Vultr Ubuntu 22.04 #selfhost #selfhosting instance just for me. Works fine. All my media goes off to AWS S3. Works fine ... media never touches my actual instance.
Someone had a post back in November about doing it all on AWS; very doable.
My pinned toot is a link to my Substack article on how I did it.
@robinbrenizer@home.social @taylorlorenz I'd echo that.
Engagement here is surreal and wonderful. You only get out of it what you put into it.
@frankejames Likewise!
This is like 1993 here!
@tprophet @Fenrir@defcon.social Good point.
And it's probably because most of us are crammed into 3 main cities.
Oh, and sorry.
(It's a law that we have to say sorry)
For folks arriving from the wildness today who have tech skills - roll your own!
I did. NO regrets!
@raf @cgoldfish @emilyk@babka.social
Um, exactly this.
I followed 100 random at the start. I've never looked back.
@cliffwade@androiddev.social
You had me at curious.
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
@cliffwade@androiddev.social
People got stuck with HotMail and AOL e-mail addresses. It didn't age well.
Same for Masto names...
This is fun!
@taylorlorenz and @pbump wandering around in the dark trying to figure out how to turn on the lights.
@drewharwell has the switch.
@cliffwade@androiddev.social
!jcarroll@jacc.uucp
Also for a time, I was
(C:CANADA,PUB:TELECOM.CANADA,SN:CARROLL,FN:JIM,
ID:JA.CARROLL)
Memories. Fun times.
@cliffwade@androiddev.social "My first..."
('82)
@vmstan@vmst.io Wait, wut? Does OpenSearch work with Mastodon as an alternative to Elasticsearch? Easy install? And most important - is it less of a resource pig than ElasticSearch?
@alexwild Also, people are nicer here. That's a plus!
(Also, no rage-farm spam attacks)
Daily Inspiration: "A BIG future demands BIG ideas based on a BIG imagination!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
I released the next trend in my BIG Future: Long Term Trends Transforming our World series - The BIG Future: Brain Science and the Acceleration of Neurological Care.
The third in the series, the trend involves bold science and big ideas based on vivid imaginations as to what might be possible in the field of brain science, or neurological science.
Ever since our childhood, the 'smartest person in the room' has always been the brain surgeon - as in the phrase we often use, 'it would take a brain surgeon to ....' (insert a comment.) But in the context of big, sweeping trends, their role is changing in new and significant ways as the medical, science, and technology communities pursue the goal of doing for brain health in the 21st century what we did for heart health in the 20th century.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/a-big-future-demands-big-ideas-based-on-a-big-imagination/
@Liveotherwise @TexasObserver I've updated it with that!
Things I do in my day job when I'm not fooling around with tech or doing research.
it's based on my 10 Great Words -> https://10greatwords.jimcarroll.com
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/video-on-innovation-growth-creativity-london-uk/
People make fun of eastern North American skiing.
But this young man just won the World SuperG in France. He's from my home Ski Club, Georgian Peaks. https://georgianpeaks.com
I started skiing at the same ski club as he did when I was 40 years old.
Given his age - he's 25 I figure we must have shared rides up the baby hill when he and I were starting out ... because that's when they start out at my club!
He's progressed a bit more than I have though!
We have many Olympians and World Cup racers from our club.
Because, eastern skiiers know snow in a different way.
Congrats Jack!
@MemoryFault But I'm probably right.
@FuckElon @flabberghaster @robinbrenizer@home.social @taylorlorenz I just signed up for @analytodon yesterday; it's beginning to populate with some stats. Thinks keep maturing here. Some interesting insight appearing. Tools are arriving! Developers, developers, developers, developers....!
@WillemPenn@pettingzoo.co You should see us when we get a dump of powder!
Give me ice!
Ice ice baby!
Listen to the ice! When a young fellow from the place we ski wins the World Championship!
"Jack Crawford stuns the world with his victory in the super-G on Thursday, becoming just the 3rd Canadian man to win a world title in alpine skiing. #teamcanada
Flying!
@vmstan@vmst.io fail2ban to nuke it before it hits mastodon
It's raining .
So it's mastodon and cardio time!
Welcome!
Also this song is epic
@cdevroe @molly0xfff I second that motion!
@PeterBronez Played around with some minification of css and stuff. Might have been too aggressive. Will scale it back.
@PeterBronez @tootapp It might have been AddThis ... looking at the code spit out. Can you try again and see if still happens?
@atomicpoet Have you see the report that you can't move your instance/account later, i.e you are tied to Cloudflare? If that is true, that should kill this off. It seems like a great initiative, but it would be a shame if they bonehead the implementation.
@PeterBronez @tootapp I just bought @tootapp to have a look and can see the extra text. Will work on it. Thanks for bringing it to my attention!
I'm not seeing this in other clients.. must be something tootapp is doing?
@aswath @atomicpoet Metaphors abound
Now doing research for a couple of insurance-related events I have coming up. A few thousand articles I'm going through.
This one seems prescient in the face of the onslaught of AI. Companies are going to rush to implement AI support chatbots (replacing their current poorly configured chatbot support tools). Customers will hate them. The companies that win will be those that emphasize human service.
Hence, "Digital advice, made human"
Smart aussies!
@briannawu I did research on 40 years of leadership/CEO hubris and arrogance, and came up with a list. He ticks all the boxes. This situation is one of them
@aswath @atomicpoet This. I don't know his source.
https://elk.zone/mastodon.neat.computer/@jonah/109835998207877546
I'm in a bit of a pissy mood.
This is my potential image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow. The topic is obvious.
Not sure I'm going to run with it. It's not terribly inspirational LOL!
Poll follows - should I use it or not?
Should I do my post tomorrow based on that image?
It's the year 2173.
The annual "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition is underway.
It's an annual tradition; no one quite remembers why it is done, but there is some recollection that it began in the year 2016.
A solemn ceremony is held in which a grand Indictment is issued by an attorney to someone portraying the politician, who then loudly proclaims, "I shall ignore it.". Someone playing the role of a lawyer then steps forward and puts forth a petition to a Court that seeks to quash the indictment. The court clerk, acting in the designated role, agrees with the petition, and the ceremony is over.
The "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition is undertaken throughout the land as a solemn memory of the Before Times when indictments actually mattered, and the law had some effect.
Everyone goes back to their lives, morose and sullen, awaiting the next year, the annual "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition.
Every year, the tradition continues. No one remembers why.
It's the year 2173.
The annual "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition is underway.
It's an annual tradition; no one quite remembers why it is done, but there is some recollection that it began in the year 2016.
A solemn ceremony is held in which a grand Indictment is issued by an attorney to someone portraying the politician, who then loudly proclaims, "I shall ignore it.". Someone playing the role of a lawyer then steps forward and puts forth a petition to a Court that seeks to quash the indictment. The court clerk, acting in the designated role, agrees with the petition, and the ceremony is over.
The "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition is undertaken throughout the land as a solemn memory of the Before Times when indictments actually mattered, and the law had some effect.
Everyone goes back to their lives, morose and sullen, awaiting the next year, the annual "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition.
Every year, the tradition continues. No one remembers why.
Daily (Non) Inspiration:
"AI. Now I am become destruction. A destroyer of reality at scale." - #Futurist Jim Carroll
A shoutout to @jacqueline for her comment that clarified my thinking.
J. Robert Oppenheimer, the 'father' of the atomic bomb, famously noted that upon witnessing the first use of the weapon, the phrase from the Hindu sacred text the Bhagavad-Gita ran through his mind
'Now I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds'
He realized that they had unleashed onto the world a horrible weapon and technology, hoping that society had the guardrails in place to prevent its misuse. Fortunately, experience has shown that since then we've been able to avoid the worst - the societal guardrails have prevented its misuse. So far
No such guardrails exist today as the sophisticated tools of rapidly maturing AI technology are unleashed into our world
There is nothing inspirational whatsoever about today's post
Read the full post
Well, I went with the negativity. See the post on my profile.
@ShekinahCanCook@universeodon.com @marleybits39@mastodon.world @david "Therefore their AI is doomed to be stupid."
Brilliant commentary.
"Therefore their AI is doomed to be stupid."
Brilliant commentary.
@ShekinahCanCook@universeodon.com @marleybits39@mastodon.world @david Not being snarky at all. I totally agree with you.
In that context, read my dispirited and depressing post of this morning around this topic. I fight for my optimism; I have little optimism that they will manage this well.
@stwhite Hence my use of highly indexed, structured reliable information from Dow Jones Factiva when I need to do serious stuff.
I rarely will start out on hard core industry or topic research on Google. It just doesn't work. I will use it as a secondary step after doing my original research.
@stwhite I'm about $500 a month. It's more than worth it to me for what I can do. Ya, small biz/solos are not their markets. Your search phrases might be in there, but it is mostly news and industry, as well as hard core (real) science and academia.
"You probably don’t have a lot of time to think about all the things that are going on with the rush to self-driving cars and electric vehicles. I do – that’s my job as a futurist. The things is, you don’t know what you don’t know, until you know it.
So I’m going to let you know!"
@drewharwell My post about it this morning, with reference to that very article.
“Our future will be defined by the production of misinformation and false realities at scale, and society is ill-prepared to deal with it; the technology and venture capital industries are all too eager to ignore the problems in chasing the potential for profit; and politicians are all too eager to exploit it for their own selfish interests….
@dancingdogs Yikes! Investigating....
it might be cleared up. Some weird caching issue.
I admit, I really don't know. There used to be a lot of alternatives in the 90s; it was a big business. Then search engines arrived.
Thanks for pointing it out though.
Send me your email address via DM. I'll share iwth you a sample of what I do.
This is my new favorite song.
It's the year 2173.
The annual "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition is underway.
It's an annual tradition; no one quite remembers why it is done, but there is some recollection that it began in the year 2016.
A solemn ceremony is held in which a grand Indictment is issued by an attorney to someone portraying the politician, who then loudly proclaims, "I shall ignore it.". Someone playing the role of a lawyer then steps forward and puts forth a petition to a Court that seeks to quash the indictment. The court clerk, acting in the designated role, agrees with the petition, and the ceremony is over.
The "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition is undertaken throughout the land as a solemn memory of the Before Times when indictments actually mattered, and the law had some effect.
Everyone goes back to their lives, morose and sullen, awaiting the next year, the annual "Issuing of the Indictments" tradition.
Every year, the tradition continues.
No one remembers why
@det@mastodon.lol
Tech industry implodes, 2001.
Change the dates, its the same thing. History just repeats. Tech companies are going through a mindless cost-cutting exercise, hurting employees and accomplishing nothing.
"The technology market entered 2000 to the sound of champagne corks popping. It exited to the sound of a bugle playing Taps. "They've thrown out the baby and the bath water, the towels, the soap, the shampoo and stopper, and they are burning everything in the bathroom and are going to start on the rest of the house," says Cristina Morgan, co-director of investment banking at J.P. Morgan Chase. "After they burn everything down, they will rebuild it. It always comes back."
Tech Year Begins with Fizz of Champagne, Ends with Sound of Bugle Playing Taps
01/08/2001, Investment Dealers Digest
- From my old, out of date book, "Get a (Digital) Life", 2001
OMG.
Please don't tell the GOP about this. It will become a new talking point for the wingnuts.
I updated the classic for you.
@mastodonmigration @taylorlorenz Oh look!
Mastodon data! Via @analytodon
It's only beginning to populate for me since I signed up two days ago, but it's rather interesting.
(APIs are goodness)
@dancounsell@techhub.social Give me back that lower translucent bar!
@TamarYellin @mastodonmigration @taylorlorenz @analytodon
A cursory review indicates .. precisely.
I imagine it just grabs them from the post itself. It uses the Mastodon API to grab post and other information.
Apparently I'm corrupt!
(Interesting. I had to do a server restore and lost some stuff. So I will post this again!)
@taste@kinkytaboo.online Tried that, no luck.)-;
@taste@kinkytaboo.online I'm thinking it's a Vultr repository problem since I'm getting it on two servers and the error is coming from one of their repositories.
Things that go bump in the night.
It was! It worked!
Epic!
Going for a hot tub after sking the whole day.
Server doing a backup while I go.
Then I'll attempt to upgrade to Mastodon 4.1
Hope to see you on the other side!
Hot damn!
That was easy!
A shoutout to the admin here! Awesome job! Epic work!
Ok, things went so well, I'm going to give a shot at getting ElasticSearch again ...
@vlrny I did!
I tried to get my wife to give me a shoutout but she just gave me a blank look.
Before Elasticsearch.
After.
Undecided yet.
@atomicpoet As soon as you hear "Web3.0" run fast, very far away.
If you thought customer support was bad before, wait until you see the fresh hell you are about to go into in the future.
AI or GPT + customer support chatbots = hell.
@shawngoldwater It's nonfunctional while the car is in drive. Obviously designed that way.
It's there to give you something to do during the 10 or 15 minutes while you are at a Supercharger. It's also got the Disney Channel, Youtube, and a bunch of games built-in, so it's not critical. It's just annoying.
Tennessee’s newest lawmaker, Democratic Rep. Justin J. Pearson
----
“This dress is resistance. This afro is resistance. What we are doing here is subversive to the status quo, and I think that’s going to continue to make people uncomfortable,” said Pearson.
----
It worked.
1 of 4/ To ChatGPT: "Can you write, in 1,500 charaters, whether people will pay attention to a post that is 1,500 characteres long, or if they will find it too long, based upon research"
2 of 4/ People's attention span has decreased with the rise of digital devices, but they still engage with long-form content if it's relevant, interesting and well-written. The subject matter, format, and context of the content also play a role in determining if people will pay attention. Research shows that long-form content receives more engagement and shares on social media than shorter content. If a post is well-written and engaging, there's a good chance people will pay attention to it, even if it's 1,500 characters long.
3 of 4/ "That wasn't 1500 characters"
"My apologies! Here is a revised response, with a maximum of 1,500 characters"
4 of 4/ People's attention span has decreased in recent years, but they will still read long-form content if it's relevant and engaging. Subject matter, format, and context all influence whether people will pay attention to a post. Research suggests that longer pieces of content tend to receive more engagement and shares on social media, even if the attention span of people has decreased. If a post is well-written and engaging, it's likely that people will pay attention, even if it's 1,500 characters long.
The format of the post can also have an impact on whether people will pay attention to it. A well-designed post that is easy to read, with clear headings, subheadings, and images, is more likely to be well-received than a post that is just a solid block of text. Additionally, using multimedia elements such as videos, audio clips, or infographics can help break up the content and make it more engaging.
The context in which the post is being consumed is also an important factor to consider. For example, a post that is 1,500 words long might be well-received if it is consumed on a mobile device during a commute or while waiting in line, when people have some extra time to engage with longer pieces of content
In conclusion, whether people will pay attention to a post that is 1,500 words long or if they will find it too long depends on a number of factors, including the subject matter, the target audience, the format of the post, and the context in which it is being consumed
There is so much momentum behind A.I. at this point that I doubt the cheerleaders can be turned back. It's an important and good technology from many perspectives, but also unchecked, dangerous. That's been the case with every new tech that has come into our world....
I use two automated tools which can push updates out, one is FSPoster, the other is Revive Old Posts.
Both would stop working unless the developers pay the API fee. I'm not sure what their plans are at this point. I don't use them to post to Twitter anymore.
I've got my Daily Inspiration image for tomorrow morning.
The post will actually have to do with electric cars and electric car charging infrastructure.
But it's always good to tell a story to try to make a point.
I'll write in the AM and it should be out around 6am EST.
I'm at the black dot.
Apparently, Tobermory which is about 80km west of me was closed for a time.
Weird times.
Also, that's an AWACS - specialized radar - US military plane.
Also a Stratotanker refueller! Wild! (This would be for refuelling fighter jets)
Well, a huge NOTAM went up over the area I'm now in!
Now my little Raspberry PI #adsb receiver has picked up the KC 135. He's up there refuelling something north of my place.
Wild.
Daily Inspiration: "Patience is a tumultuous virtue for the impatient!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
This post with a picture about skiing is actually about electric vehicles and charging infrastructure!
Read the original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-patience-is-a-tumultuous-virtue-for-the-impatient/
My image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow.
@realTuckFrumper I've been reading that things are imminent forever. I expect that by the year 2050, Donald Trump will be quite dead, but reports will emerge that the 32nd Special Counsel might actually possibly be maybe considering possibly doing something that might lead to something, or maybe not.
It goes on forever, never comes to an end, and nothing ever happens.
Daily Inspiration: "Don't talk about what you'll do tomorrow. Do it today." - Futurist Jim Carroll
I've got an event later this morning with a company that is in the equipment leasing industry - they've brought me in give their team a sense as to how their future will unfold - and how they can ensure they can capitalize on these trends to pursue opportunities. The key issues in their future? The electrification of vehicle fleets, changes to dealer distribution models with business model change, and the changing nature of customer interaction. With this comes insight into the innovation strategies and ideas they could and should be pursuing.
The latter comes from careful analysis of innovation leaders - those who relentlessly focus on change to capitalize on opportunities. One key thing that is common to those leaders? A growth orientation based on moving forward today, not tomorrow! I've long realized that innovation comes naturally to those organizations that are focused on the opportunities of tomorrow rather than the challenges of today. It's by building a culture that is relentlessly turned to that reality, they easily succeed in doing things differently. And in doing so, they're the true innovators -- they've been able to throw off the shackles of yesterday's problems in order to concentrate on what they could be doing to adjust to tomorrow.
But they do it now. They don't wait.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/dont-talk-about-what-youll-do-tomorrow-do-it-today/
It's a fascinating world at times!
I've got an event this morning for the Canadian subsidiary of a major global Netherlands bank. It was arranged by one of my speaker's bureaus in the UK, with an agent in Dallas writing up the contract. They offered me a flat fee for airfare as these things usually do, but it's 7 km from the front door of my chalet north of Toronto, so I won't be needing that!
Well, hello @websummit@mastodon.ie
Maybe you need a kick-ass keynote on why the future is distributed, not centralized, and it's about protocols, not product.
(-;
Your comment: "Maybe there will be negative consequences of ChatGPT, but I'm sure we're not in a position to see what they are now, based on experience with similar changes."
--- Misinformation at scale is one, for a society that has already demonstrated it can't deal with misinformation.
Happy Valentines!
I love you all!
(Oldsters will get it!)
I’ve got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
The photo is from one of my last events on this day tomorrow, Feb 15, 2020 in Las Vegas, before Covid sent me to my basement green screen studio for two years!
The story is about trucks.
Elon Musk waves to all the new Twitter followers who see his posts first on the timeline after an engineer changed the code.
@caseynewton @zoeschiffer Here he is waving to all his new followers!
@annsmiley Praise must be offered to all megalomaniacs!
Daily Inspiration; "Only a fool allows skepticism to get in the way of opportunity!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Let's talk about trucks!
Three years ago today, I had one of my last in-person keynotes before the pandemic hit. In Las Vegas, I was the luncheon speaker for the annual conference of the Association of Truck Dealers, which itself was nestled into the massive National Automotive Dealers Association Conference.
I remember the situation leading up to my keynote in Las Vegas three years ago. I had already done many, many talks within the trucking and vehicle industry, and skepticism as to whether we might ever see the arrival of electric trucks was everywhere. All kinds of excuses were given throughout the industry - batteries were too heavy, the range would never be achieved, and charging infrastructure was lacking.
Fast forward - skepticism is mostly gone with the major truck companies, and massive investments are well underway. Only a fool lets skepticism get in the way of opportunity!
The need is dire - in Europe, trucks represent less than 2% of all vehicles but 25% of all emissions. In the US, it's 5% of vehicles but 29% of emissions. For those who believe that the climate emergency is real, there is a big problem to solve here - and that group includes most major truck manufacturing companies.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/only-a-fool-allows-skepticism-to-get-in-the-way-of-opportunity/
Me: Let's go off and start to do my research for a few articles and keynote bits I need to write and pull together about A.I.
My research tool: OK, here's a start.
Whoah.
@maxleibman @ZeroCovidColin '23 Trends for 2023' - #9 Entrenched Workback Pushback
"Most companies are on a path trying to get key employees back to the office. Return to work is the beating drum.
The problem is that many of those key employees – highly skilled, in huge demand – have tasted freedom, and don’t want to go back. And in the context of trend #8 – Knowledge Velocity – they are in the ‘driver’s seat.’"
https://jimcarroll.com/2022/12/23-trends-for-2023-9-entrenched-workback-pushback/
@ZeroCovidColin @maxleibman I started working at home in 1989, opting out of the traditional corporate sector and working out of a home office, building my global brand. I haven't looked back since. Freedom, once attained, is never given back.
This seems bad.
Also, this seems bad.
There is no George Spacely. It's an amalgam of "George Jetson" and Mr. Spacely in the Jetsons.
In the 60's, we called this GIGO
Old Risk: A wingnut like Musk buys Twitter and destroys the content-moderation team and content-moderation promise, resulting in the generation of more hate and misinformation.
New risk: Some new wingnut buys an AI engine and destroys the misuse policy, allowing for the generation of hate and misinformation at scale.
Our future.
We are doomed.
@suryo Reframed: "Do you think that the government CAN step in to control the kind of information that flows out of search engines?"
Nope. Politics is way beyond broken.
@GossiTheDog My single-user instance. The spike was the day I called Elon Musk an imbecile. It went into a bit of a trajectory!
@ivory Will try it out my MacBook.
Sadly, my 2015 iMac is OS capped out.
Can I tell my wife that you said I have to buy a new one so I can use it?
Everyone in the world: Maybe we can harness the power of A.I. for better interpretative analysis of XRays for the detection and management of cancer and another life-threatening disease.
Meta/Facebook: Oh, cool, we can make better Instagram filters!
@krst Interesting - thank you. One of my 23 Trends for 2023 pieces was all about the acceleration of digital twin tech, and somehow I see this fitting into this too.
I'm finding with my clients that there is INTENSE interest in understanding what AI means. I'm with the CEOs of a bunch of major insurance companies at the beginning of next month, for example, and will provide them an overview of the promise and peril of what's happening here.
Lots of promise. TONS of peril.
@mjtsai Wow. Vultr must love this!
I've got my image for tomorrow morning's Daily Inspiration.
It's based on a fantastic comment made by a Google engineer about what is going wrong there. Sometimes a phrase just reaches out and grabs you. This one got me!
https://medium.com/@pravse/the-maze-is-in-the-mouse-980c57cfd61a
@DataDrivenMD Also, some of us made our own little servers just for ourselves and participate in the wider world. The story of how I did mine is pinned to my profile.
Me, in my Tesla tomorrow.
"Sorry, I won't start until you issue a laudatory tweet about Elon Musk, stating these words...."
A shoutout to @tapbots @ivory for working so hard in the wake of having their lives pulled out from underneath them when Twitter pulled the API upon which their software relied.
I’m trying out the new Ivory on my Mac and its just as wonderful as the iOS version!
Daily Inspiration: "Avoid the delusion of exceptionalism!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
An ex-Google engineer by the name of Praveen Seshadri caught a lot of attention yesterday for his post a few days ago, "The maze is in the mouse," featuring the sub-heading, "What ails Google? And how it can turn things around" More on the reasoning in his post in a moment, but it did feature this bit of commentary which immediately caught my attention:
---
The way I see it, Google has four core cultural problems. They are all the natural consequences of having a money-printing machine called “Ads” that has kept growing relentlessly every year, hiding all other sins.
(1) no mission, (2) no urgency, (3) delusions of exceptionalism, (4) mismanagement.
Unfortunately, this is not my first experience watching the gradual decay of a dominant empire.
--
The phrase 'delusions of exceptionalism' captures so much of what I've been trying to say here for a time that I knew I had to find a way to use it. The result was the creation of today's image for today's quote.
Delusions of exceptionalism.
Dangerous - and destructive!
Read the full post:
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-avoid-the-delusion-of-exceptionalism/
All of Mastodon waiting for Twitter to finally collapse.
Today's research: Plowing through about 5,000 tightly focused articles about vertical farming.
I predicted the trend back in 2000. It's now exploding worldwide.
While working on my vertical farming piece, I'm also pulling together stuff for the next trend in my BIG Future series.
Staggering stuff happening with the discovery of new materials, and the science of materials. Staggering trends. This one will hit sometime next week.
I successfully managed to get Elasticsearch running on my single-user instance here at futurist.info, and unlike last time, barely any server load.
I don't know what happened when I tried it last December and saw awful spikes.
I like having a local search of my timeline; finding something I posted here 2 or 3 months ago is useful.
The big question for me now is - do I purge the media on my S3 account (everything is offloaded there, never touching my server)? If I am to have a search, I should have the media that came with it. There's a LOT of media, and the cost seems to be running about $8 a month. I'll watch for a month and see what I do.
That moment you realized when you walked into the doorframe and stubbed your baby toe might be a bit more than a stub and it might become a challenge to get the ski boots on tomorrow....
I'm running late with my post .... maybe tomorrow or the weekend. It will be posted here
I've got my image for tomorrow morning's Daily Inspiration.
This one is based on a really interesting CEO survey which came out last week.
Any quick way to get to top of timeline on iOS?
RE: "Choosing and Switching Mastodon Instances"
People also need to understand they can do their own instance and avoid all this server migration stuff in their Mastodon home going down or becoming unstable.
Having a domain-name-related instance that belongs to you negates any of the down-the-road hassles of migrating. Also, your Mastodon handle today might look like a Hotmail or AOL address down the road. That's why I built my own on a basic Vultr Ubuntu server under a domain I had kicking around, futurist.info
It's me, it's mine, and I don't worry about migrating in the future. If it goes down, it's on me.
Also, I control the configuration - so my software is up to date, and my character count is set at 1,500, though I rarely use that.
So my long-term home is right here - @jimcarroll
My details on what I did are pinned to my profile and are at:
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
GOP households.
Daily Inspiration: "The future sure as heck doesn't belong to those who are slow!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
The CEOs aren't happy - because they don't see any compelling sense of urgency with their team.
That's the message from recent surveys from recruiting firms Russell Reynolds and Price Waterhouse. Bottom line? CEOs don't believe that their leadership teams and staff are moving at the speed necessary to deal with a faster future.
It's kind of ironic for me to see this type of survey result because my book from 2012 hammered home that theme. Partially based on what I was seeing my CEO clients suggesting to me in our calls prior to an advent, "The Future Belongs to Those Who Are Fast" outlined why leadership speed would be crucial to future success.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-the-future-sure-as-heck-doesnt-belong-to-those-who-are-slow/
@titociuro Yikes! Fixed it! I love having an edit button!
My BIG Trend post on Vertical Farming is ... delayed ... because my 29-year-old son has a massively sophisticated vertical farm in his home ... and I want to work it into the post ... and need him to explain some of the photos to me.
To give you a sense of what he has been up to -- these are two screenshots of his #homeassistant #raspberrypi setup!
Crazy wild stuff! He configured and built much of this himself - including the hardware. (The first screen might have come from a template in the HA community. I'm awaiting details once he gets here!)
@bazkie He's a drone pilot for work!
@caseynewton He's the new Jim Balsillie (RIM), he's the CEO of Sears, Kodak, Blockbuster.
I took a look at 40 years of CEO failure - all the research points out common traits. He ticks EVERY SINGLE BOX. He is incapable of understanding his reality at this point. It's fascinating insight when you look into other corporate failures.
I'm just waiting for the moment I will have to do a laudatory tweet about the dick before my Model 3 starts.
Toot of the year IMHO and it's still only February
Old farmer.
New farmer learning future farming today.
Industries change.
@briannawu March 2023: Platformer is reporting Twitter is about to limit the ability to login, unless they pay Elon $8/11 a month.
Beyond crazy on a service that fewer poeple want to use anyways. 🤡💩
@shoq @mad9scientist I'm in!
This is just wrong.
Translated:
2FA - It's crap, but it's such good crap that we will restrict it to those stupid enough to pay $8 a month for this crap.
@KuJoe @vmstan@vmst.io @doctroid@vmst.io I run my own server, just for me.
Should I be worried?
@seanthegeek @jerry @stux I run my own server, for me. The story is pinned to my profile, a full Substack article.
I just asked my wife if she wants to take it over if I am hit by a bus. She gave me a blank look, as she does when I talk about tech.
(-;
@EricCarroll@toad.social @lauren I still have my Radio Shack Model 100 at home. I'm good to go!
Your Sunday morning reading!
**Presenting: *MAGAzine!***
**The Official Lifestyle Publication and Policy Journal of Your Once and Future Favorite President**
**including such gems as:**
**The Best *You *Is Yet to Come!**
**You’ve heard of hot yoga—now try LOUD yoga!**
**By** KIMBERLY GUILFOYLE
"I’m doing almost all of my yoga at home these days. This is for a bunch of reasons. Firstly, every commercial yoga studio is full of perpetually aggrieved snowflakes with Ph.D.’s in Intersectional Basket Weaving. If I wanted to stretch and tone against a background of whining, I’d roll out my mat in Nancy Pelosi’s office. Secondly, practicing at home makes a bold statement about the garbage-like heaps and drifts of loaner mats that you find in studios; if you don’t own your own mat, folks, you are contributing to the welfare state."
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration post tomorrow morning.
It's actually a holiday tomorrow in Ontario, Canada, where I live - known as Family Day!
So I'll be spending the day with my ... family!
Post to come in the morning.
One of the most fascinating trends unfolding in our future involves the world's oldest profession.
No - not that one. Agriculture!
Imagine skyscrapers full of plants. That's what begins to happen when the marriage of radical concepts, technology, and a pressing need for innovative thinking collide together to provide for a very BIG trend.
One that leads to a potential future in which we are no longer restricted to farming outdoors - in the future, we will be doing much more of it indoors as well. As a global society, we need to do this - because as the world's population grows to 8 billion, we need BIG, bold solutions to come up with new ways of growing global food production. And what has happened is that our early experiments with the concept of growing indoors are about to enter the industrial scale, as we see the arrival of trends that bring together technology, advanced science, disruptive ideas, and new concepts - bringing into reality a new industry that promises to provide fast innovation that solves one of the biggest challenges of our time!
Vertical farming at scale!
Full post:
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/the-big-future-vertical-farming-at-scale/
@EricCarroll@toad.social @PJ_Evans@mastodon.social @lauren 56!
That was nirvana.
Then, bonus points to me - I had actual ISDN for a time!
Extra bonus points - this was 1998 - and a Telsat Canada demo satellite Internet dish (using DirectPC tech) that gave me about 25MB down, with the return via ... a 56k modem! They set it into my backyard and we wrote it in the 1999 book, predicting that one day, satellite-based Internet would be a BIG thing.
Epic times!
I think I'm going to put in a verfication blue-badge policy on my singleuser #selfhost Mastodon instance and demand that the single-user pony up.
@lauren They will surely succeed!!!!!
@patc I have a wife. She's organized them neatly into folders by year, etc. wtih names. It's amazing.
Following this though because I'd love to see the suggestions. Mine go back to 96 digitally, and then I scanned all my stuff from 1971 onwards and I have a lot of photos....
Tech companies:
The 2000's: "We're going to build innovative social platforms by which people can connect and do wonderful things."
The 2010's: "Our social networks are somehow being weaponized to destroy society because we've built stupid crazy analytical shit into them"
2020's: "Hey, look at this cool blue button you can pay for!"
Daily Inspiration: "Your blessings are a reward for your initiative, and a reminder of your achievements!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
I count my blessings by the joy in my heart at this moment; I mark my overall success by my ability to be in the moment!
In my home province of Ontario, it's Family Day, a regional holiday in the Canadian provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, New Brunswick, Ontario, and Saskatchewan. Held on the third Monday of February, it was introduced in 2007 as a way to celebrate the importance of family - and give hard-working Canadians an extra day off to spend with their loved ones during the middle of winter! Two-thirds of all Canadians have the day off today - in our case, we have spent our weekend at our ski chalet north of the cities that line our south.
Today's topic? Defining success! What do I celebrate on this unique holiday? For me, it's to be found in this photo, taken earlier this year while up at our chalet. My sons are with my wife and me; Tom is with his wife Kim, and Willie is with his fiance Laura (with a wedding scheduled this October.) We've had a delightful weekend with some skiing, a few outdoor activities, playing some games, and having a wonderful laugh over dinner - as we do on many weekends.
My wife and I have the glorious opportunity of having many weekends like this through the winter, despite the fact, my sons are busily building their lives and have their own massive social circles. I
On this US Presidents Day, don't ever let anyone say that Biden is not one of the greatest Presidents of our time. And that is being said as a Canadian!
At 1:35, you can see Zelensky tearing up.
Moments matter.
**Володимир Зеленський**
@ZelenskyyUa
Ukraine government official
Historic. Timely. Brave. I welcomed @POTUS in Kyiv as Russian full-scale aggression approaches its one-year mark. I am thankful to the U.S. for standing with Ukraine and for our strong partnership. We are determined to work together to ensure Ukraine’s victory.
@lauren @PJ_Evans@mastodon.social @EricCarroll@toad.social
Over the years, I've done quite a few keynotes for the National Rural Telecom Cooperate - it's the group charged with trying to bring broadband to rural communities. It's been a huge challenge and continues to be so; satellite like this was always one of the options despite its drawbacks. Progress is slow but steady!
Two potential images for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning. Uncdedided on which one to run with.
So about all this...
There is this opportunity.
Course, y'all would have to learn to say sorry a lot. It's part of what we do up here.
@CassandraZeroCovid Also, you have golf for us in the winter, and I much prefer playing up in Carefree rather than FL....
Daily Inspiration: "Grow your ideas, not your skepticism!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
One of the most fascinating trends unfolding in our future involves the world's oldest profession.
No - not that one.
Agriculture!
On the weekend, I released the latest trend in my "BIG Future" series, having to do with "Vertical Farming at Scale."
.The intro?
--
Imagine skyscrapers full of plants. That's what begins to happen when the marriage of radical concepts, technology, and a pressing need for innovative thinking collide together to provide for a very BIG trend.
One that leads to a potential future in which we are no longer restricted to farming outdoors - in the future, we will be doing much more of it indoors as well. Vertical farming at scale.
--
Ask a farmer about the idea of vertical farming, and most will tell you it's the dumbest idea they've ever heard - which led to the first version of today's Inspiration which I decided not to use for some reason: "As soon as they tell you it's a dumb idea, you know it's the smartest thing you can do!"
#agriculture #verticalfarming #indoorfarming #motivation #inspiration
---
Full post:
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/grow-your-ideas-not-your-skepticism/
@FirefighterGeek I'm Canadian. I don't think I'd welcoming of the idea; we take pride in the fact that we *aren't Americans.*
Beyond that, I often wonder how the US stays together; as a futurist, I don't think it can, and I don't think it will; I think 25 to 50 years out, the nation as we know it will cease to exist. When I go down this rabbit hole, I start to think about how it implodes - does it occur violently, and if so, what happens when we get waves of refugees flooding our border?
The "BIG" Future.
It's a series I'm running about the MAJOR trends which are reshaping our future, providing for MASSIVE new opportunities, and TRANSFORMATIVE DISRUPTION.
Are you reading it and following the series? You might find it fun.
I'd also be interested in your ideas on what should be on the list - I have a list on my desk and in my mind, but I'm always open to BIG thinking.
In 20 years, we'll look back at how we farmed today and think about how primitive it was.
We'll also look back at how little we did indoors - and be amazed at how quickly vertical farming took off.
If you aren't tracking the BIG Future, you won't know where we are going and will miss the BIG opportunities unfolding right now.
Including my most recent post on one of those trends - > Vertical Farming. It's BIG
Learn why: "The BIG Future: Vertical Farming at Scale"
(The post was published on Sunday but you might have missed it)
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/the-big-future-vertical-farming-at-scale/
@basisbit Read my post. I never fall into 'revolutionary' hype traps. It's easy to take a shot like this without reading a post.
Also, farming today is NOTHING like it was 40 years ago. Precision farming, some pretty precise data insight, use of drones/automated steering/ intelligent water monitoring/usage / irrigation .... I've done more than 100 keynotes in the agriculture sector over the last 30 years and have some pretty extensive experience with how much it's changed.
But go for it. Fall into 'the future will just the same trap'
(-l
Whoah.
If you have a Wordpress site, and you are trying to optimize it, you really should consider Litespeed instead of Nginx, combined with the LiteSpeed plugin and Quic.Cloud for CDN.
I've used literally every CDN - Kinsta, Bunny.Net, AWS ... have tried every plugin - W3TC, Perfmatters, etc ... and have NEVER achieved anything like this.
The page just ... loads .... FAST. GTMetrix confirms it.
@bbuehrlen I'd encourage you to read the post.
I've also done talks with thousands of farmers in the room, and am deeply aware of their innovative mindset. Here's a clip where I'm on stage and asked a question - and I come back with an answer that I believe to be true - as to who are the most innovative peopel I know - and I respond, farmers and truckers.
Syngenta (as have others) has categorized the farming community into two groups which is where my comment comes from
This is directly from Syngenta's insight
There are what we might call the stuck-skeptics, who have attitudes such as:
- they are not optimistic about the future
- they tend to seek the “same old advice” from the “same old sources”
- they have a very low tolerance for risk
- they are not convinced they can continue to make a comfortable living in the agricultural sector
- they feel skeptical of the potential of the future by an industry that is inherently volatile
Contrast them with the “future positive” farmer. They’re:
- optimistic
- business-minded
- innovation-oriented
- very collaborative for advice
- willing to approach everything in a new way with new ideas
I just put that in a post:
You're probably in the second group.
That said, I'd encourage you not to close your mind to what is unfolding in ag with vertical farming. Your comment on rooftops and concrete sort of give away that you haven't looked at the technology unfolding here.
@bbuehrlen Read the post. (-;
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/the-big-future-vertical-farming-at-scale/
It's not really 'concrete' and 'growing on rooftops'
Also, the Netherlands is one of the world's leaders in vertical and cellular farming. So there is that.
@basisbit Yes, you're right. You wrote some code. I suppose I know nothing. I've had it all wrong all this time. I better tell all my clients LOL.
Have a nice day!
Running across some bitter folks on Mastodon today.
This is new!
@bbuehrlen LOL.
As my mom would say, never argue with a closed mind.
I'd better go tell the good companies investing billions into growing this sector at scale that they've got it all wrong!
Have a good one!
I'm announcing a new Verified policy on my platform.
I'm offering members to get a big triple-double blue icon to symbolize their importance.
They'll have to pay me for this.
Payment will be required in ice-cream. One small tub per month.
@shoq I think the cables get together at night and mate.
(Photo isn't mind, but I do have a shelf unit with hundreds of cables.)
(And I'm convinced there will be a role an RS-232C cable at some point in the future!!!)
@chris I'm 63. Gotta watch my weight. Plus I need to sneak it past my wife
My image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
This is #1682 or so.
Pretty self explanatory, but some related stories that all happened in one day.
Jeepers, your first three items today make it sound like Apple has adopted the branding "Do Evil."
Scary.
Some research I'm doing just now picked up this gem.
@europlus I don't drink LOL. (-; So, ice cream.
Daily Inspiration: "Change is hard. Especially for those who refuse to accept it!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
You should break your resistance to change before it breaks you!
That's the message that folks like me often share with others - whether it's a talk about the future, leadership, disruption, or the need for transformation. Our job is to wake you up to the opportunities, challenge your beliefs, outline the challenges, but goad you into acting.
Some people just don't take kindly to our work.
Three interactions yesterday reinforced that reality.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-change-is-hard-especially-for-those-who-refuse-to-accept-it/
I'll put this out there...
I use a wonderful little weblog parsing tool that gives me a report like this....page views by time, the path visitors take through my site.
I've been using a paid service for a time - does anyone know of a Linux open source tool that might do something similar? I use a LiteSpeed webserver, which writes to Apache log file format.
@fringe They've got a basic thing for $99 which is not a big lift for me. I just want a page that looks like this: does it offer up something like that? (All the rest, statistics etc for me is just noise..)
I know that I'm followed by a number of science folks.
I'm looking for words. I'm doing some research on trends in the acceleration with materials science - the discovery of new materials - biomaterials - lightening of materials - stuff like that. I use a powerful research tool - I just need to make sure that I am zoning in on the right words.
I'm searching for articles related to what you see - new materials, advances in materials science, and fascinating new discoveries.
I've got the tool; I just need the words.
If you have some thoughts please let me know.
If you can boost or share to folks you know in this field, please do so.
Trends.
@krst Thank you! Very very useful!
I’ve got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
It’s kind of funny - and tragic - watching all these hi-tech companies thrashing about letting people go. They aren’t paying attention to the most fundamental lesson learned during every single period of economic uncertainty since, well, forever.
The winners are the ones who don’t blindly do what they are doing.
It should be a fun post tomorrow!
@kwf @N3VEM You might want to check out Litespeed - I've moved my Wordpress site over to it from nginx and it is ridiculously fast. Combining it with quic.cloud for CDN its pretty remarkable; getting GTmetrix scores like this. I've got a few friends on a basic Ubuntu 22.04 Vultr server and it's getting a .721ms page load or better for flat HTML static file.
@ernie @jon Maybe it's a new era of search. They just haven't loaded all the advertising crap onto the screens yet, so it's not cluttered. Give it a few months - the screen will be full of garbage.
Hi. I'm Jim Futurist Info!
Ya but have you put in a verification policy for your user?
I'm thinking payment in ice cream for mine
@gecko@zvt.social I suppose it could. Mastodon is just a server block inside an Nginx /available file, but it's all the extra stuff that goes with it that would be beyond my paygrade to do in Litespeed.
A search for anyone doing that shows....nothing.
Daily Inspiration: "If you are letting all this recession talk defer your plans for growth, you're doing it all wrong!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
History has taught us that those who win during periods of economic uncertainty are those who double down on strategies for growth, accelerate R&D, focus their sales efforts on top customers, and maintain or boost marketing while others cut back, and refocus on digital customer experience.
Ya, I'm focused on that recession thing again! That's because that's where the growth in my speaking activities is!
It's interesting but tragic watching all the tech company layoffs. Flush with cash, profitable, and not in terribly dire circumstances, they all seem to be lemmings following each other in a rush to cut staff.
In the meantime, those who are being let go find themselves the casualties in what just seems to be a race to please the stock overlords on Wall Street.
The thing is, their erratic activities seem to be setting the tone for everyone else. "Tech companies are laying people off? That's bad! Maybe I should do some layoffs too!"
It fuels a belief that we are in dire economic straits, and that drastic action is needed. That's a farce - history tells us so.
Anyone can cut costs. Real leaders grow their revenue.
Those are the CEOs who get it.
---
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-if-you-are-letting-all-this-recession-talk-defer-your-plans-for-growth-youre-doing-it-all-wrong/
I always had a lot of fun poking fun at crypto on the stage.
A.I. is important - the roles in healthcare, construction, etc are massive and wonderful. ChatGPT et al are destructive and foolhardy. I can't wait for companies to implement really bad customer service A.I. bots taking us to customer service hell.
Here's a clip where I'm going on about crypto, in 2018.
Well, I nailed the trend with this post!
"23 Trends for 2023" - "Reimagining and Reinventing"
https://jimcarroll.com/2022/12/23-trends-for-2023-14-reimagining-and-reinventing/
"Starbucks is busy reimagining the ‘gas station’ of the future, knowing that when ‘gas’ disappears and electric vehicles become predominant, the opportunity for reinvention of the ‘gas station’ is pretty profound. People will be spending 10-20 minutes for a battery top-up, and will likely spend that time buying coffee and pastries – talk about an opportunity to reinvent the idea of a filling station! Time to reinvent and reimagine and pursue new opportunities!"
Guess what Subway just announced?
@KatherineStiles @stokel @Nature I've never spoken at a TED, or the World Economic Forum, or NATO. It's all a bizarro mess. Also, the first book is right but the second one is wrong.
In 2002, I was an expert witness testifying as the potential evidentiary value of the Internet as evidence in a court proceeding. I can't imagine where this unholy mess takes us in teh future.
Did you miss it?
My "23 Trends for 2023" series drew a lot of attention when it started coming out in early December.
It covers everything from the 'return to work' to AI, digital transformation to techno-skepticism, business models that are shifting to choosing not to take part in an economic downturn, crazy ideas mainstreaming to the end of oil, rapid product reinvention to the rise of the robots.
THESE are the trends my clients have been asking me about and are some of the critical issues unfolding RIGHT NOW.
Take a look and start to dig in at https://2023.jimcarroll.com
Because if you aren't aware of what's happening, you won't be happening!
@timbray @lauren I deleted it. Dumb post. I should know better. Need to remember my Social Media Serenity Prayer before I spout off. Lauren took a shot at me, rightly so.
@mimsical @heycaseywattsup Great article.
On #selhost #selfhosting - I've been running my own server since mid-November. Once I got it setup and tuned, the maintenance has been marginal / minor at best.
The story is pinned to my profile, and here. Of course, I've got Linux expertise and am comfortable there, so it's only for those who might know what they are doing. But doing it, once done, is simple.
https://jimcarroll.substack.com/p/creating-my-own-mastodon-instance
My image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning.
I will hit the 1,700 of these posts since I began in early August 2016.
With one each workday - I have not missed one day - I should hit #2,000 on or about May 21, 2024.
I write them as much for myself as I do for those who follow me on various networks.
Each tells a story.
Sign up for the email version if you like at:
@heycaseywattsup @mimsical No worries. I just always like to point out that once it is setup it involves very little maintenance.
@coachtony has launched Medium 'boosts.'
(-;
https://blog.medium.com/a-new-boost-for-top-stories-541884654fdb
@MikeTRose It's been a long time coming; I've been suggesting this type of thing for forever ... in a lot of healthcare keynotes. The blood pressure cuff was easy; glucose is hard!
https://jimcarroll.com/2011/11/when-silicon-valley-takes-over-health-care-innovation/
I had a post in 2009 that looked at the future of healthcare through a Silicon Valley lens; kind of fun to look back at:
https://jimcarroll.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/HealthCare2020.pdf
People in Ontario, Quebec, Vermont, New Hampshire, and other snowbelt regions are looking forward to the cataclysmic reports to come as L.A. and San Diego receive an inch or two of snow.
@MikeTRose I've learned to never say never. I just put everything on the Gartner Hypecycle.
Oh.
Well, at least you know now, it's not you. It's them.
I started by following 100 random people. Then some more. Then some more. I'm revelling in the diversity of thought.
"Never look back - the road is forward. If you spend too much time reflecting on what's been done, you're not spending enough time on what could be done." - #Futurist Jim Carroll
Far too many people arrive in the future without ever knowing how they got there. That's because they've been too busy looking back! Part of the problem is that they are 'forward-oriented' : fully aware of and ready for the future.
Don't take my word for it. Take a survey:
--
According to an extensive Korn Ferry study -- capturing the sentiment of nearly 800 investors and including a detailed analysis of more than 150,000 leaders -- corporate leadership is ill-prepared to meet the challenges of tomorrow.
As part of Korn Ferry's comprehensive Self-Disruptive Leader* study, 795 investors were queried in a global survey.
The result: two thirds (67 percent) say that today's private-sector leadership is "unfit" for the future.
Failing the Grade: Investors World-Wide Say Current Corporate Leadership is 'Unfit' for Future, a Major Korn Ferry Study Finds
12 March 2019, Business Wire
--
Oops.
Remember - there are three types of people.
Those who watch the future happen.
Those who make the future happen.
And those who sit back after it has happened, failing to notice its sweeping impact, and say 'what happened?'
The second group win - because they know what's next, and what to do about it.
---
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-never-look-back-the-road-is-forward/
Ask Jeeves!
That was A.I., wasn't it?
I mean, it was polite and everything.
@timo21 @jb My take on people like him and his followers are found in this post I wrote one day when I was depressed. Point #2
We'd welcome you in the blue. I'm Canadian, so epic summers in NM and awesome skiing in the winter!
Trying out the new A.I. Bing LOL
Give it a week, and we'll see lots of GOP people coming out to support him in the guise of 'cancel culture'. Of course, this will show their true colors, but we all know that already.
I gave it a follow since I'm just interested in how all these things work.
But, you probably want to edit your post so it's @plural@mediocre.photos so that it is clickable to follow.
(You forgot the @)
@lurkingstranger@mindly.social Boy, do I have something for you.
Today's stupid fail project was attempting to get an Amazon Lightsail Ubuntu 20.04 server to upgrade to 22.04 and realizing that it totally breaks SSH.
On the other hand, I did have an epic ski day.
And I did learn a lot more about SSH than I care to. Probably useful at some poi
I've got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning. I'm liking this one.
Sign up for the email version if you like at https://inspiration.jimcarroll.com
It arrives, well, daily. No spam. Just some insight on stuff.
Daily Inspiration: "When everyone is thinking alike, do your own thinking!" - #Futurist Jim. Carroll
Being unique is the basis of all innovation - because if you are doing what everyone else is doing, you aren't innovating.
You are copying.
Stop chasing harmony. Avoid groupthink. Kill committees. Stop seeking consensus. Banish buy-in. Forget concurrence. Give up on the goal of unanimity. These are the words, ideas, and cultures that kill uniqueness.
Instead, celebrate your uniqueness, and use it as fuel for your creativity. The fact is, when everyone is running one way, run the other way! Because when everyone is thinking the same thing, you’ll always end up with the same thing
Nature abhors complacency, despises routine, destroys hubris, punishes consistency, reorders routines, inhibits uniformity, and abandons mediocrity. Don’t be like everyone else. Be yourself!
Be unique!
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-when-everyone-is-thinking-alike-do-your-own-thinking/
Splendor!
My "BIG Future" series continues to unfold.
If I can manage my time, I'll be posting "New Material Science" by tomorrow - and next week, "Accelerating Longevity"
The series is drawing the interest of those who want to avoid all the needless doom-and-gloom recession talk and want to focus on the massive future opportunities that are all around us right now.
Catch up with the series here.
I love doing this type of research since you discover *fascinating* stuff!
@lavndrblue Nothing is ever going to happen. A billion lawyers, a billion dollars, a billion expectations, and no one in any jurisdiction including Georgia or the Justice Department will ever decide to take him on. It's just going to go on forever, and with it, the idea of justice disappears.
In other words - the very stuff we make is the battery itself.
#3dprinting #materialscience #bioinspired
Cool stuff.
Maybe you need some optimism today. This is from last August.
Hot damn, when I write about the future, it's just hot fun!
Led Zeppelin, Mastin via #ivory and cardio. A good hour spent
Not cardio music But epic nonetheless
@PlayAllTheThings@linernotes.club Epic!
My Daily Inspiration for tomorrow.
Because, aggressive indecision kills.
@timbray wow. One hell of a story!
Daily Inspiration: "Judge your success by what you actually do. Not just by what you plan to do!" - #Futurist Jim Carroll
You know you've got a problem but you don't fix it. You there are opportunities but you don't chase them. You know there are solutions but you don't solve them. You know there are creative ideas but you don't create them.
You are dying from indecision. And let's face it - indecision is a bad decision!
But here's the thing - decisions are hard. Especially when you are not making them. This is why, when it comes to the future, it's not the trend that matters - it's what you do with it that counts.
So what do you end up doing instead? You wait it out, seeking clarity to guide you, certainty to drive you, and a lack of ambiguity to comfort you. But the world doesn't work like that anymore, particularly when volatility and surprises have come our new normal.
So what should you do? Make a decision. Move forward. Get going.
Start doing!
Pursue The 12 Behaviors of Decisive Leaders!
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/daily-inspiration-judge-your-success-by-what-you-actually-do-not-just-by-what-you-plan-to-do/
I think I see someone who took his own advice!
5 years ago this morning I posted this!
1 of 2/
My dad was a chemical engineer. He worked hard working with science - first, at a basic chemicals company; then, managing process and engineering at a liquor manufacturing company, and finally being in charge of a major company that manufactured specialty chemicals. Finally, he worked for the environmental management group of a provincial government in Canada.
I will admit that I never really considered the work that he did to be tremendously exciting or important; as a young child, it wasn't like a lawyer, a doctor, or a banker. Those were exciting professions! And yet today, I look at the world of chemical science to be one of the most exciting - and far-reaching - aspects of our future. That's because we are going from 25 million known chemical substances today to over 1 billion by the year 2100. As science accelerates, we are discovering fascinating new materials which promise to revolutionize what we build,
how we build it, and what it is we can actually build. This new era promises an era of big, bold thinking as to what is possible, changing every industry from automotive to aerospace, consumer products to packaging, and more. It's a revolution in the making!
We all use materials. We never really think about it too much though: the science behind their discovery, the acceleration of that science, and what it leads to in terms of new opportunities. That's what this post is about - and it's part of my BIG Future series.
2 of 2/
As a futurist, my mind was opened up back in 2004 as I was preparing for a talk for an environmental group; I ound a chemical journal on the rapid evolution of knowledge/data in that field:
- to be up-to-date in all areas of chemistry you would currently have to read about 2,000 new publications every day
- if you prefer to screen only the short abstracts, you must read 200 pages per day or about 70,000 pages per year.
- furthermore, since the number of chemistry publications increases also exponentially, you need to double your reading capacity within the next 15 years.
-
you must read 20 publications every day in order to grasp only 1% of the overall chemical publications!
I then found a research document that suggested that the result of this rate of advance is a rather exponential increase in the number of known chemical substances:
*"...The number of known chemical substances has been growing exponentially since 1800, from some hundreds then to about 19 million today...."*
*".... the number constantly doubles every 13 years...."*
*by 2025: 80 million chemical substances*
*by 2050: 300 million*
*and by 2100: 5 billion......*
19 billion known chemical substances to 5 billion? That's a pretty exponential change...
The discovery of a single new chemical substance led to the opportunity for Apple to miniaturize the hard drive -- that led to the first iPod - many years ago.
Which was the birth of a multi-billion market.
https://jimcarroll.com/2023/02/the-big-future-new-materials-science/
@terrillwelch @supernovae@universeodon.com
I have been doing it since 1982!
Just a periodic reminder that Elon Musk (and Mark Zuckerberg et al) suffer from the disease of hubris.
I studied 40 years of corporate and CEO failure - thousands of articles - and boiled it all down into these common traits.
See the 4th bullet, right side:
"An inability to see or perceive any mistake"
History has taught us that a) if often does not end well for them or b) often does not end well for most of the rest.
See:
@proxeus 2023.
I’ve got my image for my Daily Inspiration tomorrow morning. It’s based on my BIG Trends piece released earlier today.
I hope to post it here, but I’ve got an early flight to Naples, FL, so I’ll see how I do with all the kerfuffle.
